| Monday, January 24, 2011.  Chaos and violence continue, Nouri al-Maliki  stages a power grab, ugly realities about Iraqi prisons emerge, a British  citizen (and Iraq War veteran) stands trial in Iraq, and more.     The violence never ends in Iraq.  Yesterday, Jane Bradley (Scotsman) reported  Baghdad  experience "a series of car bombs" resulting in 6 deaths and twenty-nine more  people left injured. Aziz Alwan and Liz Sly (Washington Post)  noted  the death toll rose to 8 and that the bombs "ripped through the city  and its environs over a three-hour period starting shortaly after 7 a.m., and  primarily seemed to target eitehr security forces or Shiite pilgrims setting out  to attend rituals associated with the Arbaeen religious holiday." Mohammed Tawfeeq (CNN) explains , "The Arbaeen is the  culmination of 40 days of mourning for Imam Hussein, a grandson of Mohammed who  died in a 7th century battle in Karbala."  John Leland (New York Times) observes ,  "Other parts of the country have recently been hit by large-scale attacks,  mainly against security forces and religious pilgrims, but until Sunday Baghdad  had been spared."  DPA adds , "Iraqi Vice-President  Tareq al-Hashemi said Sunday the country should brace itself for an increase in  attacks ahead of an Arab League summit scheduled to be held in Baghdad in March"  and they quote him stating, "We should anticipate a possible escalation of  terrorist attacks as we get closer to the date of the coming Arab summit in  Iraq."  Peter Walker (Guardian) points out ,  "Despite the security, there have been a series of bomb attacks during the  pilgrimage period, killing at least 159 people.  Last week, a triple suicide  attack along the main roads leading up to Karbala killed 56 people, mainly Shia  pilgrims."  Global Post adds , "On Sunday, an Al  Qaeda front group in Iraq claimed responsibility for the series of suicide bombings  north of Baghdad last  week, in Baquba and Tikrit."    The emphasis today is on Kerbala. Reuters notes  a Kerbala bombing  claimed 6 lives with twelve people left injured followed by a second  bombing  with both blasts resulting in at least 14 dead and one-hundred  and forty-one injured . AFP quotes  Province Vice Chief Nusayef  Jassem stating, "There were three car bomb explosions, two at 8:30 AM (05:30  GMT) and another 30 minutes later."  Ned Parker and Salar Jaff (Los Angeles  Times) quote  eye witness Mohammed Thayish stating, "Many charred bodies  were there, women, children and men. It was so sad and horrible.  Blood was  everywhere.  It's so frustrating to have car bombs every few days against Imam  Hussein pilgrims.  Where are the security forces? They should have better  measures and intelligence to prevent such terrorist acts."  BBC counts  25 dead and later John Leland (New York Times) counted  30  dead while noting, "The attacks led to a flurry of theories and recriminations.  Some Iraqis speculated they were meant to undermine confidence in security  before the Arab League Summit, which is scheduled to be held in Baghdad in  March.  Others offered conspiracy theories involving foreigners and Saddam  Hussein loyalists. Saad Abdul-Kadir (AP) counts  "at least  18".  In addition, Reuters notes  two Baghdad roadside  bombings resulted in 1 death and nine people being injured and a Tirkit roadside  bombing injured five of Governor Ahmed al-Jubouri's bodyguards, Taha Othman was  injured after being shot outside his Mosul home, 1 Imam was shot dead in Falluja  and the corpses of 2 Sahwa members turned up in Riyadh.   Ahmed Rasheed (Reuters) reports that the easily  manipulated court system in Iraq has again bended to Nouri al-Maliki's will in  what some are terming a "coup" as independent agencies -- such as the  Independent Higher Electoral Commission, the High Commission for Human Rights  and the Central Bank of Iraq -- put under the control of Parliament by the  country's Constitution are being turned over to Nouri by the Supreme Court. Ned Parker and Salar Jaff (Los Angeles Times)  explain : But some parties were  suspicious of Maliki and the high court, remembering how the prime minister  requested a ruling last year over who had the right to form the next government  after an election that saw Maliki and his secular rival, Iyad Allawi, finish in  a dead heat. The court's ruling that  the largest bloc in parliament could form the government after a vote  effectively allowed Maliki to create a majority with the other main Shiite bloc  in parliament. Allawi's Iraqiya bloc  expressed its alarm over the latest ruling in a statement  Saturday. "The decision of the federal  court to connect the independent boards to the council of ministers directly  instead of the parliament … is considered as a coup against democracy," the bloc  said. Wow.  Imagine Nouri doing a power grab after he secured the  post of prime minister.  Who could have ever seen that happening?  Good thing  Moqtada al-Sadr is in Iraq, right? Oh wait, as noted in Friday's snapshot ,  Moqtada al-Sadr is back in Iran. For a visit or another two-year-plus stay no  one knows. BBC News notes  he was  only in Iraq for two weeks (and think of all the press he got for what might  have been a vacation). Moqtada al-Sadr's presence didn't make a damn bit of  difference (only the ruling came down Friday, Nouri's the one who brought the  case).  We're dropping back to the January 10th snapshot  for 11 paragraphs where we  explained that, having gotten the post, Nouri didn't care about anyone else or  the laws and that this was evidenced by his first term as Prime Minister:   Last night, we wrote:  "He's reporting on  al-Sadr's threats to leave Maliki's government should the US stay beyond 2011.  Guess what, Chulov, al-Sadr left Maliki's government in 2007 for just that  reason. It didn't topple then either. We'll address that and Rebecca Santana's conclusions for  AP and Gulf News' opinions in a snapshot  this week (hopefully tomorrow)." He was Martin Chulov. Moqtada al-Sadr has no  power now in terms of the government, not if you judge by the past experience.   He pulled out of the government in April 2007,  remember?        In Iraq today  the six cabinets filled by Moqtada al-Sadr's block are now vacant.  Tina Susman (Los  Angeles Times) explains: "A key Shiite Muslim  bloc in Iraq's governmental pledged Sunday to quit over Prime Minister Nouri  Maliki's refusal to set a timetable for the withdrawal of U.S. troops, a move  that would further weaken the country's leadership at a time of soaring  sectarian violence."  Edward Wong and Graham Bowley (New York Times)  listed "protest at the refusal of Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki to set a  timetable for American troops to withdraw from Iraq."  (No link.  Currently the  New York Times has 'withdrawn' the story.  You can find it quoted here.)  AFP  quotes a statement issued by the puppet of the  occupation: "Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki welcomed the announcement of his  eminence Muqtada al-Sadr."  The puppet was the only putting up a brave front,  the Turkish Press  quotes White House flack Dana Perino who steps away  from her stand up schtick on the beleaguered US Attorney General Alberto  Gonzales long enough to declare, "Doalitions in those types of parliamenty  demoncracies can come and go."  That funny Perino!  "Democracies"!  She cracks  herself up.  Amy Goodman (Democracy Now!)  noted: "The Sadr movement controls six cabinet posts  and a quarter of seats in Iraq's parliament.  The pullout follows one of Iraq's  bloodiest weekends in months. McClatchy newspapers is reporting nearly  300 people were killed in violenace around Iraq Saturday." [CBS and AP's  count on Sunday for the Karbala bombing Saturday was  47.]  Jim Muir (BBC News)  offers analysis, "Nobody expects Mr Sadr's move to  bring the government down.  Nor did observers believe that was his intention.   Rather than leave the cabinet seats empty, he himself suggested that the six  abandoned portfolios be given to non-partisan independents, and some of his  aides urged that competent technocrats be appointed. . . .  The Sadr bloc has 32  of the 275 seats in the current parliament, and intends to continue its  activities there and in the Shia coalition, despite withdrawing from  government.  Another member of the Shia coalition, the Fadhila party, announced  early last month that it was pulling out of that alliance because of the  government's poor performance and sectarian quota composition.  But only if  other major factions such as the main Sunni bloc and Iyad Allawi's secular Iraqi  List were also to walk out of the government, would it be at risk of collapse."   Ross Colvin and Yara  Bayoumy (Reuters)  note "concerns about  whether Sadr's Mehdi Army, which Washington calls the biggest threat to Iraq's  security, will maintain the low profile it has so far duing a U.S.-backed  security crackdown in  Baghdad."       Kawther Abdul-Ameer and Mussab al-Khairall  (Reuters) reported April 17, 2007 on his withdrawal of  support (the ministers from his bloc left Nouri's Cabinet) and how  Nouri al-Maliki told the reporters, "The withdrawal (of the Sadrist bloc) does  not mean the government is witnessing weakness."  Nor did it mean the government  collapsed.  Iraq's Constitution is not being followed by Nouri.  Did no one  grasp that at all during his first term?      The only power anyone  had to stop Nouri was to stop him from forming a government.  He's done it.   He's now going to ride through the second term.  If ministers walk, so what?   It's not led to a vote of confidence by Parliament and it most likely won't.   Nouri never had a full Cabinet.  And he still doesn't, he's starting off his  second term without a full Cabinet.  Rebecca Santana notes that, "Many Iraqis  and U.S. officials are believed to want an American presence beyond the end of  2011, as currently planned under a U.S.-Iraqi agreement, to do such things as  control Iraq's airspace and monitor the borders.  But al-Sadr's remarks made  clear it will be difficult for al-Maliki to renegotiate that deal."  Moqtada's  remarks suggest no such thing.  Moqtada's ministers left (in 2007) because?  The  continued US presence was the reason give publicly.  They walked and the  government continued.  If that's how Nouri behaved in his first term, why would  anyone expect he would accept new impositions in his second term?  How do you  logically infer that?   I don't see how you  do.  Gulf News insists, "But Al Maliki's confidence comes from a very  fragile base, and the political unity achieved so painfully around the new  government could easily fall apart."  How?  Do we mean military coup?  That's a  possibility.     But if we're talking  about the government falling apart because X walks out -- however many units you  apply to X -- that doesn't seem likely because it's not what happened before or  what's already happened.  During the many months without any government -- when  the UN should have imposed a temporary government -- the Minister of Electricity  resigned.  Nouri just made the Minister of Oil also the Minister of  Electricity.  There is no Constitutional power that allows him to do that.   There is no "circumvent Parliament one time only" card that exists.  Currently,  there are 13 empty spots -- 3 of which Nouri has appointed himself (temporarily,  he insists).  And for those saying, "Well Moqtada has a lot of seats in this  Cabinet!"  He has says 7 seats in this Cabinet.  And before some fool cries,  "Well, see, it's one more than last time!"  Uh, not really.  They had 6 when  there were 32 Cabinet positions (plus the Prime Minister).  Now they have 7 when  there are 45 Cabinet positions (plus the Prime Minister).  Now that's just  dealing with the 2007 walk out.  That was far from the only walk out of Nouri's  Cabinet.  There was, for example, the great Sunni walk out of 2008.  It doesn't  matter who walked out, it never crippled Nouri or even made him  pause.   So you can have the  opinion that Moqtada al-Sadr or even Ayad Allawi hold power in the executive  branch of the government today but, based on pattern, that's not a sound  opinion.  You may say, "In spite of pattern, I think this go round if A happens  then B and C band together and . . ."  But the pattern's already established and  until you acknowledge the pattern, if your opinion goes against it and you can't  explain why that is, your opinion's not a sound one.     At any time during the  walk outs of Nouri's first term, Parliament could have toppled the government  with a vote of no-confidence.  They didn't.  That was due to the fact that Nouri  was able to offer 'rewards' to those who were loyal and he didn't have to offer  rewards to many because so few MPs were ever present for votes.  Now you can  say, "Things will be different now, Parliament will be prepared to do a  no-confidence vote."  And maybe they will and maybe they won't but if you're not  acknowledging that Parliament refused to do so before then your opinion's not  sound.   Nouri's not a new  face.  How he's going to govern is no great mystery.  He's just started his  second term.  Ayad Allawi's supporters will hate this but when Allawi (or rather  Iraqiya) agreed to go forward without the security council being established,  that was a huge mistake.  (Allawi did protest that.  He himself did not go along  with that.)  Once Nouri got the vote and moved from prime minister-designate to  Prime Minister, he didn't need them anymore.  That's why he could launch an  assault on al-Sadr's supporters -- jump the gun on the US an launch an assault,  as Gen David Petreaus testified to Congress repeatedly in April of 2008 --  without fears of reprisal.     There will be  unexpected and surprises but the pattern's established and those sure that  a pear tree is going to bear apples this year can hope all they want but, based  on what we know from past experience, that's just not going to happen.  Equally  true, human development is A to B, A to C or A to D for most people.  Few of us  ever experience an A to Z change.  In other words, Nouri today is basically the  same Nouri he was from 2006 through  2010.   End of excerpt and, again, don't say you're surprised unless you want to  admit how foolish you were to have ever believed that Nouri in term two would be  vastly different than Nouri in term one.  And the . . .  Let's call it "news."   And the "news" just continues to pile up around Nouri.  Saturday, Jennifer Rizzo (CNN) reported  the  ACLU  is, via Freedom of Information requests, in  possession of "thousands" of documents which "show 'unjustified homicide' of  detainees and concerns about the conditions of confinement in U.S.-run prisons  in Iraq, Afghanistan and Guantanamo Bay" and notes: Others are thought by the ACLU to be new. In one such  case, a detainee was killed by an unnamed sergeant who walked into a room where  the detainee was lying wounded "and assaulted him ... then shot him twice thus  killing him," one of the investigating documents says. The sergeant than  instructed the other soldiers present to lie about the incident. Later, the  document says an unnamed corporal then shot the deceased detainee in the head  after finding his corpse. In another  example, documents note a soldier "committed the offense of murder when he shot  and killed an unarmed Afghan male." But, according to the ACLU, the individual  was found not guilty of murder by general court-martial.  And that's only one of Nouri's prison issues.  Ned Parker (Los Angeles Times) followed   that with a story about how Nouri al-Maliki's "elitist security force [the  Baghdad Brigade . . .] is holding detainees in miserable condtions for months at  a time [at Camp  Honor ] without access to lawyers or families despite Maliki's pledge last  year to rein in the unit, Iraqi officials and diplomatic sources say. [. . .] A  man held at the facility in April and May said he recognized one detainee as an  official from Diyala, one of Iraq's most politically sensitive provinces.  The  arrest of Najim Harbi, a member of the Diyala provincial council, has sparked  accusations that the security forces had been politicized.  Harbi was elected to  parliament last year, but has been unable to take his seat." In April of last year, Parker reported  that there  was an attempted arrest of Iraqiya's Sheik Qais Jaoburi and that this followed  the arrest of Harbi who "was taken into custody before the national vote, but he  was elected anyway while being held in an undisclosed location.  Another elected  Iraqiya lawmaker from Jabouri's district, Madaen, southeast of Baghdad, has also  gone into hiding after receiving warnings from contacts in the Iraqi security  forces that a raid on his home was imminent." Assad Abboud (AFP) quotes  Busho Ibrahim,  the Deputy Justice Minister, stating, "It [Camp Honor] is under the control of  the ministry of justice.  It is my responsibility, and I deny all these  accusations -- they are all lies.  The prison is visited by the ministry of  human rights and the International Red Cross.  They know about it.  There are  270 detainees and most of them were arrested over counter-terrorism offences and  by Baghdad Operations Command."   This is who the US government installed -- twice over.  This is what they  picked.  And this is what they risk US lives to keep installed.  Mark Brunswick (Minneapolis Star-Tribune) reports ,  "In its second-largest deployment since World War II, the Minnesota National  Guard will send more than 2,400 troops to Iraq and Kuwait later this year." Rupa Shenoy (Minnesota Public  Radio) reports  with text and audio on the deployment. Becky Purser (Macon Telegraph) reports  that  "soldiers from the Macon-based 352nd Combat Sustainment Support Battalion" are  deploying to Iraq, "The soldiers agreed that being remembered by folks back at  home strengthens them while stationed overseas. 1st Lt. Jonathan Castillo, 26,  of Orlando, Fla., has support from his parents, a 7-year-old sister and five  brothers. He recalled what it meant to him and others deployed to Iraq at  Christmas in 2007 to receive Christmas stockings with each of their names as  well as letters of encouragement from people they didn't even know. Sgt. Kenisha  Neal, 23, recalled the Girl Scouts sending cookies during her deployment in  southern Iraq 2007-2008 and the letters from second-graders that 'told us how  much they loved us'." Candace Hollingshed and Bofta  Yiman (WMAZ) add , "Family and friends said goodbye to their loved  ones after a deployment ceremony that took place at Macon State College on  Sunday."  And who's leaving when?  Arieh O'Sullivan (The Media Line)  reports :    More than eight years after arriving in the country,  American troops are readying to leave Iraq by the end of December, but defense  analysts say the U.S. Air Force will likely be staying for years to  come.  Iraq's Air Force won't ready to maintain air  sovereignty any time in the foreseeable future, the experts said. Last year, the  government announced its intention of purchasing 18 F-16 Block 52 multi-role  interceptors in an effort to fast track its way to an effective air defense, but  delivery will only begin in 2013 and even this date is reportedly being pushed  back, they said  "I don't think the U.S. Air Force will be able to  leave Iraq for at least five years, as there's no way that the Iraqis alone will  be able to deal with any kind of air threat for this period," said Brig.-Gen.  (ret.) Musa Qallab, an independent defense expert and former program manager for  Gulf Cooperation Council Defense Issues Gulf Research Center in  Dubai      Who is leaving?  A large number of refugees.  But some Iraqi refugees are  being forced to return to Iraq.  As Jomana Karadsheh (CNN)  reported  last week, Sweden has forcibly deported 26 Iraqis back to  Iraq (at least, Sweden's saying they were Iraqis; last year, Sweden forcibly  deported an "Iraqi" back to Iraq only to discover the Swedish government didn't  know what the hell were doing because he wasn't an Iraqi).The UNHCR tells  Karadsheh that 3 of the 26 were Iraqi Christians. Iraqi Christians have been  targeted throughout the Iraq War but the latest wave began October 31st with the  assault on Our Lady of Salvation Church in Baghdad. DPA noted , "The plans have been  criticized by various international agencies - including the United Nations  refugee agency, UNHCR - citing fears that the refugees would be returned to  areas where Christians and other minorities have recently come under attack.  Swedish churches, human rights groups, and members of the opposition have also  protested the move." Coming under increasing criticism for their move, CNN reported ,  "Sweden's Minister for Migration and Asylum Policy, Tobias Billstrom, defended  the decision by pointing to a recent decision of the European Court of Human  Rights, which he said decided that there is no need to stop the return of Iraqis  who had unsuccessfully sought asylum in Sweden." They don't come off very  humanitarian with their actions. Nor do recent revelations indicate that they've  acted out of humanitarian impulses. DPA reports : While Sweden was prepared to receive asylum seekers  there was need for 'a return agreement' with Iraq for refugees whose  applications were rejected the ministers said, according to US diplomatic cables  leaked by whistle-blower site WikiLeaks and quoted by the daily Svenska  Dagbladet. During a September 2007  visit to Iraq, Foreign Minister Carl Bildt and Tobias Billstrom, minister for  migration and asylum policy, met with Iraqi officials and US embassy officials  in Baghdad. According to the US  cable, Bildt and Billstrom mentioned concerns that many arrivals after 2003 were  'more difficult to assimilate.' Contributing factors were that the asylum seekers were  destitute, and often had poor education or lacked language or professional  skills. Sweden's The Local reports : A Green Party member is considering reporting Foreign  Minister Carl Bildt and Migration Minister Tobias Billström to a parliamentary  committee following a WikiLeak exposing statements that they made in 2007 about  Iraqi refugees. Bildt and Billström  are the subject of renewed criticism following the revelation. At the time,  Bildt stated Sweden's demands for a tougher immigration policy. The opinions  were expressed during a meeting between the two ministers and a US  ambassador. Bildt and Billström  attended a breakfast meeting with then-Swedish ambassador to Iraq Niclas Trouvé  and then-US ambassador to Iraq Ryan Crocker, according to the classified  documents on Iraqi immigration to Sweden, Swedish newspaper Svenska Dagbladet  (SvD) reported on Friday. The problem  was the Iraqis that Sweden did not want to grant residence permits to. Bildt  wanted an agreement with Iraq on the return of these asylum seekers. Without  one, it would have been impossible to establish a Swedish embassy in Baghdad,  said Bildt, according to the documents.Ida Karlsson (IPS) reports, "Both the United Nations  and Amnesty International have criticized Sweden for its latest expulsion of  Iraqi migrants who fled their home country to seek shelter in the European  nation, citing concerns that violence in Iraq continues to threaten the lives of  deported migrants." UNHCR notes  that the UNHCR High Commissioner for Refugees  Antonio Guterres addressed the issues declaring that efforts should be made "to  address the security, property and reintegration issues that would allow people  to return in safety and in dignity" but all returns should be Iraqis wanting to  return.  He continued, "To force people to return home against their will where  insecurity prevails is unacceptable."    Iraq War veteran Danny Fitzsimons remains imprisoned and on trial in Iraq.  He served in the British military for eight years and was stationed in  Afghanistan and Kosovo as well as Iraq. He returned to Iraq in the fall of 2009  as a British contractor, or mercenary, accused of being the shooter in a  Sunday, August 9, 2009 Green Zone incident  in which 1 British  contractor, Paul McGuigan, and 1 Australian contractor, Darren Hoare, died and  one Iraqi, Arkhan Madhi, was injured. BBC News reports  that the trial has  adjourned until February 20th so that the judges may examine the psychiatric  evaluation and that the defense argues the three contractors were drinking, had  an altercation, Dany Fitzsimons returned to his lodging and the other two broke  in and began attacking him, threatening to kill him leading Danny Fitzsimons to  shoot Paul McGuigan dead and then fight over the gun with Darren Hoare. Martin Chulov (Guardian) adds : The judge, Ali Yousef, questioned Fitzsimons on  forensic evidence prepared for a coroner, which said powder burns were absent  from Hoare's body, not supporting Fitzsimons's account of a close contact  struggle during which fatal shots were fired from a short range. Fitzsimons said: "I think the evidence was manipulated  by the security company. The crime scene was changed." Salam Abdul Kareem, a lawyer for the victims'  families, urged the court to hand down the maximum sentence, which is death by  hanging, or life imprisonment. "He did not stop shooting until all 14 bullets  were finished," he said. Steve White (Daily Mirror) quotes
  Fitzsimons  testifying, "I was seconds away from death." In terms of the trial, my only  opinion is that there's been no proof that justice can be found in the Iraqi  legal system. But the issue of drinking has always been a part of the narrative  from the moment the story broke. Point? Whether or not the two men were entering  his residence to kill him, if they did break or burst in and he was drunk (as  were they), his own perception of the situation would be influenced by that. As  would their poor judgment be influenced by the booze leading them to think  'breaking in would be a great idea.'  Amy Corderoy (Sydney Morning Herald)  adds , "A former team-mate from Mr Hoare's AFL football club, Peter Johnson,  47, said Mr Hoare and his wife [Molly-Joe] were well-loved and respected members  of the Curra Swans football club, and local community."  We'll close with the opening of "Debra Sweet: Why I Oppose a Grand  Jury Investigation of Anti-War Activists" (World Can't Wait):A contradiction to ponder:A three-year investigation by the Department of Justice into the CIA  operatives who carried out waterboarding, filmed the acts on 2  men, and then destroyed the tapes, ended this past November – with the  government deciding not to prosecute anyone. Jason Leopold, in Special Prosecutor Declines to  File Criminal Charges Over Destruction of CIA Torture Tapes  wrote:It is widely believed that the videotapes were destroyed to cover up  torture. It is also believed that the tapes were destroyed because Democratic  members of Congress who were briefed about the tapes began asking questions  about whether the interrogations were illegal, according to Jane Mayer, author  of the book, "The Dark Side" and a  reporter for The New Yorker magazine.  A two-year secret federal investigation of the U.S. anti-war movement has  been conducted by the Obama administration, apparently with a federal grand jury  in Chicago hearing evidence from Prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald, looking into  "possible links between U.S. anti-war groups and foreign terrorist  organizations," according to the Chicago Tribune.  Fitzgerald issued subpoenas beginning in September 2010, delivered via FBI raids  to their homes, for activists to appear before the grand jury. With all the  records sealed by court order, it is impossible to know about the scope and  intent of the probe. 
 But knowing what we know about how the "war on terror" has been  conducted, one can be suspicious that the aim of the first investigation was to  find no crimes, while the aim of the second is to manufacture  crimes. 23 anti-war activists have now been targeted by the  FBI, many through September raids that confiscated a wide range of personal  material.     |