Isaiah's THE WORLD TODAY JUST NUTS "Propaganda Pig Approved Tulsi." went up a few hours ago.
"The Snapshot" (THE COMMON ILLS):
Wednesday, July 30, 2025. Chump doesn't have trade deals (though many in the media humor him), Pam Bondi can't stop lying, nursing mothers and Maine police officers among the latest targeted by ICE, and much more.
Prices continue to increase under Donald Chump. Tariffs are taxes and those are costs passed onto consumers. "American companies big and small are suddenly facing much higher costs leaving them to decide whether to swallow that cost and lay off workers or pass it on to you the consumer," Stephanie Ruhle noted last night on MSNBC's THE LAST WORD WITH STEPHANIE RUHLE.
Frameworks are not contracts, Dan Nathan pointed out, "We just don't have a lot of detail about that."
At SUBSTACK, economist Paul Krugman writes:
First off: two more of my inequality primers are now free at the Stone Center web site. The list so far:
Why did the rich pull away from the rest?
The importance of worker power
Oligarchs and the rise of mega-fortunes
Now, on to current events.
Trump has now announced a trade “deal” with the European Union that looks a lot like the “deal” he made with Japan. I use scare quotes because there is little sign of a quid pro quo. The United States is imposing a 15 percent tariff that is lower than previously threatened, but still vastly higher than we had before Trump. Overall U.S. tariffs seem likely to settle roughly at the level that prevailed after the infamous Smoot-Hawley tariff of 1930.
In return we got a vague promise of higher European investment in the United States. When Japan made a similar promise last week, administration officials asserted that this would mean hundreds of billions flowing into rebuilding U.S. industry. Japanese officials, however, say that the money will consist almost entirely of loans and loan guarantees. This strongly suggests that Japan will, if it does anything at all, simply be sticking Trump’s name on money flows that would have happened anyway. There’s every reason to suspect that the same will be true of whatever the EU does.
And like the Japan deal, this deal seems to place lower tariffs on cars made in Europe, which have very little U.S. content, than on cars made in Canada, which contain many American parts. Add in the punishing tariffs on steel and aluminum, and Trump’s trade policy seems, if anything, to be tilting the playing field against U.S. manufacturing.
When I point out that Trump’s idea of trade deals seems counterproductive even in terms of his claimed goal of boosting manufacturing, I get some pushback from readers along these lines: “Oh, yeah? If you’re such an expert on trade negotiations, tell me what deal you think you could have made.”
OK, I can answer that. If I had been in charge of negotiating with the European Union, I would have been able to get a deal with the following components:
· Very low tariffs on U.S. exports of manufactured goods to Europe, on the order of 1 percent
· Near balance in bilateral trade, with U.S. exports to Europe close to 90 percent of our imports from Europe
· U.S. companies allowed to operate freely in Europe, earning hundreds of billions a year in profits
· European corporations investing more than $150 billion a year — real investment, not loans — in the United States
Why do I believe that I could have negotiated a deal like that? Because that’s what U.S.-EU international transactions actually looked like in 2024. So that’s what we could have gotten by doing nothing.
Paul Krugman discussed the economy with THE NEW REPUBLIC's Greg Sargent -- here for audio, here for transcript. Excerpt:
Krugman: The U.S. runs a trade deficit overall. We buy more stuff from abroad than we sell. That’s not because U.S. goods are uncompetitive, really. It’s basically because the U.S. has been an attractive investment destination, which keeps the dollar strong. And it’s just arithmetic that the inflow of capital to the U.S. equals the trade deficit. I know arithmetic has a well-known liberal bias, but you can’t really reduce the trade deficit unless you reduce the flow of investment into the U.S. It’s not really about tariffs at all. Other things Trump is doing—making the U.S. looks like a crazy place—may end up reducing that flow of investment, but the tariffs won’t do that at all. So that’s the broad macroeconomic picture. And then if you look at the micro—sorry, economist talk—but if you look at what it’s actually doing to industries, Trump is in general putting higher tariffs on the goods that we use to produce manufactured goods than he is on the consumer goods that are produced with those inputs. So he’s actually raising the costs of U.S. manufacturing more than he is giving them protection from foreign competition.
So the overall thrust of his strategy is actually anti-manufacturing. During Trump’s first term, a bunch of studies went through trying to figure out the impact of the tariffs on manufacturing, and they all came to the conclusion that Trump’s tariffs on overall cost the US some manufacturing jobs. And we thought, Well, he won’t make that mistake again. But he is. He’s making that mistake again, but five times bigger.
Sargent: How long would you give this? In fairness, how long should we wait? How many years do we have to wait until we can say definitively that Trump has failed to restore manufacture in the U.S. with his regime? How long do we have to wait?
Krugman: I would say.… I mean, it’s never going to happen. But if you look at it, maybe here’s a point of comparison. Biden had the Inflation Reduction Act, which had nothing to do with reducing inflation but was a lot about promoting green manufacturing and so on. And you could see within two years, it was obvious that the IRA was generating a huge boom in investment in manufacturing in the U.S. So I think to give Trump more than two years to show that this is actually doing something positive would be holding him to a different standard. If you don’t see this in two years, then it’s a failure. I have no question. There’s just nothing in there.
If you actually looked at the trade deal with Japan and now with Europe, who was hopping mad, screaming, This is a terrible deal? It was a lot of industry groups. The auto industry was in hysterics over last week’s Japan deal because it was just clear to them. They said, Stuff that we have a stake in, which includes manufacturing in Canada and Mexico, is being disadvantaged relative to cars from Japan, which is not us. Anyway, I don’t think we’re going to see anything. Now if we can talk about the other provisions of the deal later on, it turns out they’re completely empty. If we’re not seeing a boom in manufacturing investment by the end of Trump’s term.… To even wait that long would be giving him more time than people gave Biden, and Biden’s policy actually did boost manufacturing.
Sargent: It’s just so crazy. This is just never talked about. These two things are never talked about together. On the one hand, Trump is doing all these tariffs to supposedly try and spur manufacturing this country. Meanwhile, they’re functionally doing all they can to wipe out the nascent green energy manufacturing industry in the U.S., which is actually something that competes well with China if it works over the long haul. The whole thing is so ridiculous. Why don’t more people point that basic disconnect out: that they’re wiping away the manufacturing jobs of the future while imposing tariffs to create manufacturing jobs? Why don’t we hear that said more often?
Krugman: Yeah, the media is really—well, not only on this—dropping the ball. And I have to say, I don’t think it’s the reporters. I think that the reporters at major news organizations may not all be top-ranked economists but they do know enough about it to know that the whole switch in policy [is] actually toward reduced manufacturing and wiping out a lot of jobs. They’re editorial decisions. To cast this as a win for Trump, that’s an editorial decision. I’m sure that wasn’t the reporter’s idea of how to portray it. And we can talk.… That’s a whole other discussion. Basically, for the most part—not my department, but this is crazy—the fact that we’re actually going backward and undermining a lot of the industries of the future barely [gets] reported.
Sargent: And never in the context of Trump and Vance’s constant rhapsodizing about manufacturing. You mentioned that there were other things in the deal that are empty, I want to quickly touch on those. You wrote in your piece that the promised $750 billion in spending on U.S. energy and the $600 billion increase in investment in the U.S. are probably illusory or nothing. What’s the deal with that? The whole thing is starting to look awfully like a pretty big scam as so much that Trump does is.
Krugman: I should say, by the time people hear this, there will have been a second Substack post which is already in the can for the day after we had this conversation looking into those things. So yeah, the Europeans said we’re going to do $600 billion of investment in the U.S. Take them in two pieces. Not clear that that actually helps, but the question you should immediately ask is, How are they going to do that? Europe is not China. The Chinese government can tell companies or banks, Send the money there, but Europe doesn’t work that way. Europe is a market economy like ours. And this was a deal with the European commission in Brussels, which isn’t even a government. The European commission negotiates trade deals, but it has absolutely no authority over domestic economic policies within European countries.
This morning, Ben tries to make sense of it all for MEIDASTOUCH NEWS.
Jon Luke Evans. That's our next topic. Donald Chump's war on immigrants and the various lives he's destroying. Patrick Whittle (AP) reports:
The chief of police in a Maine resort town has called for an investigation into the arrest by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement of one of its officers, who the chief said was federally approved to work in the country in May.
ICE arrested Old Orchard Beach Police Department reserve officer Jon Luke Evans, of Jamaica, on July 25. The agency said Evans was illegally present in the U.S. and unlawfully attempted to purchase a firearm.
You read that right. Chump's gestapo is now arresting police officers. Daniella Silva (CNN) adds:
The Old Orchard Beach Police Department said in a statement on Monday that as part of its standard hiring process, Evans completed an I-9 federal immigration and work authorization form to verify that he was legally able to work in the U.S.
Police Chief Elise Chard said in the statement that the town reviewed multiple forms of identification and submitted the forms for Evans to the Department of Homeland Security’s E-Verify Program. The system is operated by the Department of Homeland Security in partnership with the Social Security Administration to let employers know if a prospective employee has legal authorization to work in the U.S.
“The Department of Homeland Security then verified that Evans was authorized to work in the U.S.,” Chard said. “The form was submitted and approved by DHS on May 12, 2025.”
“Evans would not have been permitted to begin work as a reserve officer until and unless Homeland Security verified his status,” she said.
“In Old Orchard Beach, reserve police officers are part-time, seasonal employees who must meet the same background checks, pass the same physical agility tests, and receive the same medical evaluations as full-time police officers,” Chard said.
More and more, the question around the country becomes: When's ICE coming for you?
AP notes another horror story:
A Marine Corps veteran’s wife has been released from US Immigration and Customs Enforcement detention following advocacy from Sen. John Kennedy, a Louisiana Republican who backs President Donald Trump’s hardline immigration crackdown.
Until this week, Mexican national Paola Clouatre had been one of tens of thousands of people in ICE custody as the Trump administration continues to press immigration officers to arrest 3,000 people a day suspected of being in the US illegally.
Jillian Frankel (PEOPLE MAGAZINE) adds:
Since late May, Paola, who was still breastfeeding 4-month-old daughter Lyn when she was arrested, had been held at a facility about three hours from her family, who live in Baton Rouge, La.
Now she's back home with husband Adrian, 26, and their two children, including nearly 2-year-old son, Noah.
The couple spoke with PEOPLE from Louisiana, as their young kids cooed and laughed in the background, one day after they were reunited when ICE freed Paola from detention.
Her case is one of an increasing number around the country drawing attention to federal immigration policies. President Donald Trump successfully campaigned last year on cracking down on illegal immigration, but some of his deportations have stirred major debate.
Paola, though no longer held in Monroe, La., is required to wear an ankle monitor for the remainder of her legal proceedings.
Again, when's ICE coming for you?
US Senator John Kennedy was able to work to free her. But ICE frequently tries to do run-arounds when it comes to Congress. For example, William J. Ford (MARYLAND MATTERS) reports:
Six members of Maryland’s congressional delegation were turned away Monday when they showed up to inspect a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement office in Baltimore where they said people are being temporarily held for deportation or awaiting court hearings.
Democratic Sens. Angela Alsobrooks and Chris Van Hollen and Reps. Johnny Olszewski Jr. (D-2nd), Sarah Elfreth (D-3rd), Glenn Ivey (D-4th) and Kweisi Mfume (D-7th) entered the George H. Fallon Federal Building, where the ICE detention facility is located.
In a joint statement, the lawmakers said the visit was part of their oversight responsibility as members of Congress, and that they were “exercising our legal authority … to inspect the Baltimore federal holding facility, and, if necessary, speak directly with detainees.”
But they were denied entry by an ICE official who told the lawmakers that it was an office, not a detention facility, and that they were not authorized to to enter, even though they wrote the head of ICE and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem last Monday to alert them to the visit.
Despite the claim that it’s just an office, Alsobrooks said previous visits by congressional staffers, and a court brief filed by Maryland Attorney General, indicate that immigrants are being held for several days at a time in “hold rooms” at the facility. Those rooms are designed to hold detainees for up to 12 hours while awaiting a court appearance, but are not meant for longer stays, lawmakers said.
“They are breaking the law in there,” Alsobrooks said. She said the official they encountered refused to say who gave the order to bar lawmawkers from the building.
Senator Angela Alsobrooks' office issued the following regarding the above incident:
“It was abundantly clear that the people working in this facility have been instructed to hide the horror of the inhumane treatment of the people in their custody.” – Senator Alsobrooks
We will not let this cover-up continue – we will continue pushing for accountability and the humane enforcement of our immigration laws.” – Senator Van Hollen
WASHINGTON, DC – Today, Senator Angela Alsobrooks, Senator Chris Van Hollen, and Representatives Kweisi Mfume, Glenn Ivey, Johnny Olszewski, Jr., and Sarah Elfreth (all D-Md.) conducted oversight on the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) facility in Baltimore and on the President’s draconian and inhumane tactics he is employing – throwing innocent people in jail, housing undocumented people in awful conditions, snatching people off the street, and more. The lawmakers were denied access to the facility despite it being within their constitutional authority to conduct Congressional oversight.
After the visit, Senator Alsobrooks remarked:
“It was abundantly clear that the people working in this facility have been instructed to hide the horror of the inhumane treatment of the people in their custody.”
She continued:
“And the man behind it all – Donald Trump – clearly does not care about any of us.
“His inhumanity is not limited to the people of these facilities.
“We recently had the awful flood in Western Maryland. People’s lives were disrupted and their homes and livelihoods taken away. And what is the response of this Administration: deny Maryland disaster relief. You know why?
“Because he couldn’t care less, really, about any of us.”
Senator Van Hollen remarked:
“Donald Trump told the American people that his Administration’s immigration policy would focus on ‘the worst of the worst,’ detaining dangerous criminals. That’s a targeted approach that we could support, but it was a lie. In reality they are pursuing a cruel mass deportation agenda where scores of people – the vast majority of whom pose no public safety threat – are held under inhumane conditions at places like this Baltimore ICE office and shipped off without any due process. Congress has a legal authority and responsibility to conduct oversight, but the Trump Administration refuses to let the American public see the truth. We will not let this cover-up continue – we will continue pushing for accountability and the humane enforcement of our immigration laws.”
###
The gestapo agents of ICE make whatever threats that they want and break whatever laws they want. Imagine being told in the United States that "you have no rights." 18 year old high school student and United States citizen Kenny Laynez doesn't have to imagine it. ICE bullied him and told him "you have no rights." Cristian Benavides (CBS NEWS) reports:
Diamond Walker and Valentina Palm (PALM BEACH POST) reported:
Kenny Laynez's cellphone camera captured every undocumented immigrant’s nightmare on video when it happened to him on the morning of May 2. One problem: He is a U.S. citizen. Here's more to know about what happened.
Kenny Laynez, a U.S. citizen, was driving with his mother and coworkers to their landscaping jobs when they were pulled over on Singer Island by Florida Highway Patrol and Border Patrol agents. Officers dragged them from the car, grabbing necks, twisting arms, using a Taser, and later joked about raises and promotions.
Laynez, who was born and raised in West Palm Beach, was held for six hours at a federal facility in Riviera Beach before being released. His mom, who is Guatemalan and has legal status in this country, was not detained. His coworkers were taken to the Krome Detention Center in Miami and later released on bail.
“I have rights. I was born and raised here," Laynez told the officers, according to a copy of the video shared by the Guatemalan-Maya Center of Lake Worth Beach.
"You don’t have any rights here. You are a ‘Migo,’ brother,” said the officer, who hurried him into a van. "Migo" is short for "amigo," the Spanish word for "friend, " an apparent reference to Laynez's ethnicity.
She lied ny on-stop about the video she released. Who can trust a word out of her mouth at this point? In February, the files were on her desk, she was soon to release them. July 6th there was nothing, per Bondi, to release. As this month winds down we learn that in May she met with Chump and warned him that he was in the files. Who can trust her?
The one other thing I'd add is former Senator Claire McCaskill's correct in the video below from this morning's MORNING JOE.
Let's wind down with this from Senator Alex Padilla's office:
The following sites updated: