Wednesday, June 06, 2012

A futile pursuit: searching for an honest whore



"Bill Clinton Day, Post Wisconsin Day Disasters For Obama" (Hillary Is 44):

Summarize. Bill Clinton’s candidates badly beat up Obama’s candidates last night in the primaries. Bill Clinton in the past week declared he “liked” Donald Trump (you know the guy who beats up on Obama and regularly calls Obama a Kenyan), trumpeted Mitt Romney’s “sterling” business record, demanded the election discourse be a Bain-free zone, and put down a marker for Obama to state specifically what he has done and what he will do if reelected.
Bill Clinton is no dope and Bill Clinton has been running campaigns since the George McGovern days. Bill Clinton knows more than anyone about campaign messaging and Bill Clinton knows that what he has done is take an ax to the Obama campaign message.
Obama wanted to smear Mitt Romney during five months left of the campaign with Bain distractions - soon ads quoting Bill Clinton will inoculate Romney. Obama wanted to distract attention from his record (and dubious history, as well as missing history) and pump up his dim witted supporters with jibber-jabber about Donald Trump and how unfair the world is to poor Bam-Bam – Bill Clinton swamped that with “I like him [The Donald].”
Obama wanted to run a campaign of distractions and whining (aided and abetted by Big Media), because he is afraid as a vampire is of a cross when it comes to his record in the White House. Bill Clinton said “no” discuss your record and what you intend to do in a second term. Bill Clinton knows Obama cannot survive this November if the election is a referendum on his record.
Bill Clinton, master campaign strategist has, with Barack Obama at his side grinning helplessly, systematically demolished Barack Obama’s campaign messaging and narrative. Ah, but wait! There is one narrative that Bill Clinton did not destroy. Well, not entirely…. true.
Bill Clinton did say, with grinning idiot Obama forced to listen at a fundraiser ostensibly held to help Obama, that Bill himself balanced the budget for four years. Bill Clinton repeated the fact and we can only imagine that Obama died inside knowing that Bill Clinton was openly taunting his trillion dollar budget deficits. Poor Bam-Bam.
Barack Obama might be an idiot but Obama knows when he is threatened. Barack Obama knows that Bill Clinton is goading and slapping him publicly without shame or restraint. But Obama is as helpless as George Zimmerman flat on the street while Trayvon Martin beat him. What can Bam-Bam do? Fire Bill? Fire Hillary? As if.
Barack Obama knows that Bill Clinton knows that Barack Obama knows that Bill Clinton knows that Barack Obama needs Bill Clinton to try to reach all those white working class “folks” that Obama snubbed and mocked for years now. Barack Obama knows that Bill Clinton knows that Barack Obama knows that Bill Clinton knows that Barack Obama needs Bill Clinton to try to raise money now that the Hopium Guzzlers are penniless in this Obama economy and Hillary supporters refuse to donate money to a boob.
Barack Obama can’t do a damn thing about Bill Clinton. Obama has to grin and bear it.  


Sometimes when it seems possible we can finally be rid of Barack via the 2012 elections, I think there's no way.  It seems like the nightmare cannot stop.  Bush Junior (Barack) follows 8 years of W.  And I really fear  we're doomed to 8 years of Barry as well.

See, it took those 8 years to strip off all but the die hard Bully Boy Bush supporters.  And the same may be true of Barry.

I hope I'm wrong because I really don't want four more years.

And if Mitt Romney wins?

My own personal fantasy is when any Cult of St. Barack-er I know criticizes Mitt, I get to respond, "He's our first Mormon president!"  And I get to ask, "Why do you hate him?  Because he's Christian?"

And I can dismiss all criticism of him with some stupid nonsense.

I mean for a joke.

I would do that for a joke.

I don't mean I'd make a serious argument against worthy criticism of Mitt Romney.

I'm not a whore for any politician and I've demonstrated that.

I get asked about Cynthia McKinney in e-mails these days and why I went with Nader and not McKinney? I had already decided to go for Nader.  I also felt -- and this did take place -- Cynthia wouldn't be a strong voice in 2008.

She wasn't.  And when she rails against Barack today, I really wish someone would toss her 2008 column about Barack winning the nomination back in her face.

I like Cynthia a great deal.  But she can't pretend to be a truth teller.  She whored herself for Barack in 2008.  She also ran a rather weak campaign when she should have been taking him on.

And she can kid all she wants, she did that because he was half-Black.

She can lie today if she wants.  But what she should really do is publish a column apologizing for all the interference she ran for Barack.

Those Libyans that died?  The ones she cares so much about?  They might not be dead if she hadn't whored for Barack.

And she whored almost as bad as that idiot Rosa Clemente.

I heard that stumble-bumb sick F**k trash Hillary over and over in late 2008.  Hillary wasn't even on the ticket.  But Rosa The Whore couldn't trash Barack.

That's because the fat whore claims to be Black.

Bitch, you ain't Black.  Shut your damn lying mouth.

She didn't want to be Latino until, woops!, she faced a backlash over her anti-Latino remarks.

She's just another cracker who wishes she was Black.  Like in that musical "Memphis."

A lot of people need to get honest about the whoring they did to put Barack into office.

"Iraq snapshot" (The Common Ills):
Wednesday, June 6, 2012.  Chaos and violence continue, Nouri claims "foreign interference" and a conspiracy, Bradley Manning's attorney states they are not getting the evidence needed (or required by law), Brett McGurk makes on outlandish statement to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, the Committee doesn't even bat an eye.

"Today the Senate Foreign Relations Committee meets to consider the President's nominees to serve as ambassadors to the following countries: Iraq, Sri Lanka, the Maldives and Tajikistan," explained Senator Bob Casey this morning.  Casey was acting Committee Chair for the hearing.  Susan Marsh Elliott has been nominated for the Tajikistan post and Jeanne Sison's for the Srik Lanka and Maldives posts.  They are not our focus.  Brett McGurk is nominated to be the US Ambassador to Iraq and that is our focus.  For those late to the party who may have checked out on Iraq sometime ago, Casey offered a strong overview.


Chair Bob Casey:  In Iraq, of course, the picture is mixed.  Nearly six months after the redeployment of US troops from the country, we know that political and ethnic divisions remain sharp as Iraq recovers from years and years of war.  The current government took months to establish in 2010.  And a high degree of mistrust still exists among key political factions.  Iraqis and Americans have sacrificed greatly, mightily to support the Democratic process in Iraq.  At this point in time, we should continue to support the political reconciliation among key players in the country as they work to further deepen the Democratic process.  This unsettled political environment exists within a very precarious
security situation where extremist groups are still capable of an have launched significant attacks in the country.  Just last week, six bomb blasts across Baghdad killed at least 17 people -- mostly in Shia neighborhoods.  On Monday, a suicide bomber killed at least 26 people in Baghdad and wounded more than 190 in an attack on the government run -- the government run body that manages Shi'ite religious and cultural sites. 


Why did we have the hearing?  He's "eminently capable" of doing the job, Casey rushed to assure in his opening remarks.  Then why are you wasting tax payer money?  Why waste our money holding a hearing when you've already decreed the nominee "eminently capable"?  Not to mention wasting everyone's time?


It was a garbage hearing.  Trash.  That's all it was.  I could ridicule Casey but instead will just note that aside from refusing to question the witness seriously, he did an okay job filling in for Kerry.  Only okay?  When the opposite side has time left and wants just a minute more, no words should be required.  Just wavie them through.  This is the Senate.  Especially when it's the other side because it's so easy to look petty when interacting with the other side.  His strengths?  He's a very religious person and follows religious news so he brings a perspective to foreign relations that's often unique.  He will -- and did in this hearing -- know certain details of foreign violence that the mainstream press has ignored.  I wish he'd bothered to hold a hard hitting hearing.  I wish he'd asked how have we arrived at Barack Obama's third nominee for US Ambassador to Iraq in four years?


The refusal to ask that sort of question goes a long way towards explaining how the Senate Foreign Relations Committee has failed repeatedly in the last four years when it came to vetting nominees.

In his opening remarks, Brett McGurk began with his time in Iraq back in 2004 with John Negroponte.   Listening to him list his part in one Iraqi failure after another, it was difficult not to remember Peter Van Buren's observations last March:

McGurk is 38 years old and has never done any job other than help fuck up Iraq on behalf of the United States. Dude only graduated in 1999. Despite essentially doing nothing but Iraq stuff his entire adult life, McGurk has also avoided learning any Arabic. You'd kind of think that maybe that wouldn't be the resume for the next guy in charge of cleaning up some of his own mistakes, like maybe you'd want someone who had some… depth or experience or broad knowledge or understanding of something other than failure in that God-forsaken country. Normally when you are a hand maiden to failure you don't get promoted, but then again, this is the State Department. This is almost as good as Harriet Miers.

Peter Van Buren is the author of We Meant Well: How I Helped Lose the War for the Hearts and Minds of the Iraqi People, about his work for the State Dept in Iraq.

We'll note McGurk's claims of what he will do if confirmed.

Brett McGurk:  In the defense and security area, if confirmed, I look forward to working with our Office of Security Cooperation and CENTCOM to ensure that we are doing everything possible to deepen our military-defense partnership in Iraq. In the diplomatic area, if confirmed, I look forward to working with our ambassadors in regional capitols --  most of whom I've worked with and admired for many years -- to ensure close coordination of US policies in Iraq and throughout the region.  In the political area, Iraq is scheduled to hold elections -- provincial elections in 2013 and national [he means parliamenatry] elections in 2014. If confirmed, it will be a central focus of our mission to work in coordination with the UN to ensure that these elections are held freely and on time.  Energy and economics are now among the foremost priorities.  If confirmed it will be among my highest priorities to connect US businesses with emerging opportunities in Iraq and to refocus Iraqi leaders on the urgent necessity of diversifying their economy and grappling with national hydrocarbons legislation.  As the US pursues its interest in Iraq, we must never lose sight of our values including promotion of human rights, women and protection of vulnerable minorities.  This is an ambitious agenda but it should nor require an unsustainable resource base.  If confirmed, I pledge to work with the Congress to establish a democratic presence in Iraq.  That is secure, strategic, effective and sustainable. 
Back to the questioning.

 
Chair Bob Casey: I wanted to ask you about leadership which is a central concern in any confirmation process but maybe especially so for the position that you've been nominated for.  There will be those who say -- and I want to have you respond to this -- you have based upon your record, broad experience in Iraq. several time periods in which you've served as you've been called back for services under, as I indicated, two administrations.  But they will also say that you haven't had the leadership position that would lend itself to to the kind of substantial experience that will prepare yourself for such a position.  And I want you to answer that question because I think it's an important one in terms of demonstrating in this confirmation process, your ability to lead not just an embassy but an embassy and a mission of this size and  consequence.


Brett McGurk:  Thank you, Senator and thank you for allowing me to address that.  I'd like to do that in three ways.  First, leadership of the embassy starts at home: At the embassy.  As you noted in your opening statements, I've served with all five of our prior ambassadors to Iraq and I've seen every permentation of the embassy from the very beginning to where it is today.  Throughout that, uh, process, I have learned and seen and been involved with what it takes to lead in Iraq. And to lead in Iraq, you need a really  fingertip understanding of the operational tempo in Iraq, of what it's like day-to-day, of knowing when something is a crisis and when it's not, managing morale and keeping people focused on the goals.  It also takes a team.  And if I'm fortunate enough to be confirmed, I'd be inheriting a team of extraordinary talent and depth at the embassy.  I've been fortunate to have worked with every member of the country team in Iraq.  Uh, one of whom happens to be sitting to my left, Ambassador Sissen.  That team encorporates  individuals from across the government, just a whole government approach from Commerce to Transportation to Treasury to State to the Defense Community to the Intelligence Community. I've been gratified to learn that key members of that team have volunteered to stay on for another year and, if I'm confirmed, would serve with me.  As Ambassador, the buck would stop with me.  And as I think I said in the opening statement, I have a very clear visison -- in coordination with the President and the Secretary -- of where we need to take this mission.  But I would be working with a very strong team. 


He then goes on to list various people he's worked with.  However, the question was about his ability to supervise and the answer was about everything but supervision.  Near the end of all that he says "finally" and begins talking about "my relationship with the Iraqi people."  He stated he was called back "over the years due to my unique relationship with the Iraqis.  I have worked with these indiviuals since I first got to Iraq in January 2004."


Iraq's changed a bit since then.  And is McGurk able to see them for who they are now?  More importantly, is an occupation agent -- which is what McGurk would have been seen as -- really the one to make the diplomatic face for the US in Iraq?


No one asked that important question.



Brett McGurk:  Leadership also in this context, you have to look at inter-agency experience because you're looking at a whole government approach.  As a senior director for President Bush in the NSC particularly at one of the most intense periods of the war  from the time of planning and implementing the surge and through the end of his administration.  I was at point for organizing a whole of government effort for implement the surge.
That's where he should have been asked about his failure.

Forget your take on the surge and just look at what happened. (Some are pro-surge, some are anti- -- set that aside.)  We know what Gen David Petraeus did.  He was the top US commander in Iraq.  He receives much praise for the surge.

Bush ordered the surge.  Petraeus executed it.  That's not me saying, "Don't give Petreaus any praise!"  That's noting what Petraeus' role was.  I don't believe the surge did anything lasting.  I don't believe it resulted in success.  That's not my criticism of Petraeus.  Petraeus was ordered to execute it and did.  His efforts are his efforts and though I'm anti-surge I see nothing to fault him on with regards to the execution of it.  He did what he was ordered to do with the surge and did it excellently. 

2007 wasn't that long ago for some people.  For others it was a lifetime ago or even, if you're young enough, pre-history.  So let's go back and explain what was going on.  In the November 2006 mid-terms, the Democrats campaign of "give us one house of Congress and we'll end the war" resulted in their winning control of the House of Representatives and the Senate.  This alarmed the White House (among the reasons Donald Rumsfeld was replaced as Secretary of Defense).  Not surprising, Republicans are usually alarmed by Democrats and vice versa.  So you had Bush occupying the White House and fearful that the Democrats were going to keep their campaign promise.  What a naive Bully Boy Bush.


But Democrats were saying that the same thing was being done over and over.  US House Rep Gary Ackerman (who truly was against the Iraq War) was among those making that statement.  And they wanted to know why more money needed to be spent.  There was no progress.  The White House came up with benchmarks in early 2007 (and Nouri al-Maliki signed off on them as Iraq's prime minister).  Iraq would meet these benchmarks and that would be progress!  They never did.  And Democrats in Congress stopped caring as soon as Barack Obama was sworn in.  Doubt it?  US House Rep Lloyd Doggett, when's the last time you expressed public concern over the amount of money going to Iraq with the benchmarks not being met?  2008 when Bush was in the White House.

In Iraq in 2007, the ethnic cleansing from the year before was continuing.  Shi'ites were purging Sunnis, Sunnis were purging Shi'ites.  It was more Shi'ites than Sunnis and that's true not only because there were more Shi'ites in the country but also because Sunnis made up a huge portion of the refugee population created in this time period.  Iraq was spinning out of control.  In addition to the benchmarks, in January 2007, Bush proposed the surge.  Here he is explaining it (January 10, 2007) to the American people:


The elections of 2005 were a stunning achievement. We thought that these elections would bring the Iraqis together - and that as we trained Iraqi security forces, we could accomplish our mission with fewer American troops.
But in 2006, the opposite happened. The violence in Iraq - particularly in Baghdad - overwhelmed the political gains the Iraqis had made. Al Qaeda terrorists and Sunni insurgents recognized the mortal danger that Iraq's elections posed for their cause. And they responded with outrageous acts of murder aimed at innocent Iraqis.
They blew up one of the holiest shrines in Shia Islam - the Golden Mosque of Samarra - in a calculated effort to provoke Iraq's Shia population to retaliate. Their strategy worked. Radical Shia elements, some supported by Iran, formed death squads. And the result was a vicious cycle of sectarian violence that continues today.
The situation in Iraq is unacceptable to the American people - and it is unacceptable to me. Our troops in Iraq have fought bravely. They have done everything we have asked them to do. Where mistakes have been made, the responsibility rests with me.
It is clear that we need to change our strategy in Iraq. So my national security team, military commanders, and diplomats conducted a comprehensive review. We consulted members of Congress from both parties, our allies abroad, and distinguished outside experts. We benefited from the thoughtful recommendations of the Iraq Study Group - a bipartisan panel led by former Secretary of State James Baker and former Congressman Lee Hamilton. In our discussions, we all agreed that there is no magic formula for success in Iraq. And one message came through loud and clear: Failure in Iraq would be a disaster for the United States.
[. . .]
Our past efforts to secure Baghdad failed for two principal reasons: There were not enough Iraqi and American troops to secure neighborhoods that had been cleared of terrorists and insurgents, and there were too many restrictions on the troops we did have. Our military commanders reviewed the new Iraqi plan to ensure that it addressed these mistakes. They report that it does. They also report that this plan can work.
Now, let me explain the main elements of this effort. The Iraqi government will appoint a military commander and two deputy commanders for their capital. The Iraqi government will deploy Iraqi army and national police brigades across Baghdad's nine districts. When these forces are fully deployed, there will be 18 Iraqi army and national police brigades committed to this effort, along with local police. These Iraqi forces will operate from local police stations; conducting patrols and setting up checkpoints and going door-to-door to gain the trust of Baghdad residents.
This is a strong commitment. But for it to succeed, our commanders say the Iraqis will need our help. So America will change our strategy to help the Iraqis carry out their campaign to put down sectarian violence and bring security to the people of Baghdad. This will require increasing American force levels. So I've committed more than 20,000 additional American troops to Iraq.
[. . .]
This new strategy will not yield an immediate end to suicide bombings, assassinations, or IED attacks. Our enemies in Iraq will make every effort to ensure that our television screens are filled with images of death and suffering. Yet, over time, we can expect to see Iraqi troops chasing down murderers, fewer brazen acts of terror, and growing trust and cooperation from Baghdad's residents. When this happens, daily life will improve, Iraqis will gain confidence in their leaders, and the government will have the breathing space it needs to make progress in other critical areas. Most of Iraq's Sunni and Shia want to live together in peace. And reducing the violence in Baghdad will help make reconciliation possible.


An even shorter version of the speech can be summed up as:


Americans are weary of the war.  Iraq needs to show progress.  To give the politicians "the breathing space" to move forward, we are sending more US soldiers into Iraq to address the security situation.

Brett McGurk bragged about his role overseeing the surge to the Senate committee which was either too stupid or too cowed to point out the obvious: "Brett McGurk, you, sir, are no David Petraeus."


Petraeus' role is very clear.  And he executed the surge and did so in a manner that should have resulted in an excellent rating for him.  For Petraeus.


And that's the only part of the surge that can be rated as "successful."

The surge was a failure.  Not a military failure.  Petraeus and those following his orders did their job very well.  But the surge wasn't just about more military on the ground.  That was the military aspect.  The political aspect -- which McGurk was supposed to be working on -- was passing the hydrocarbons law, achieving reconciliation among Iraqis (end of the anti-Ba'athism implemented under Paul Bremer), etc.  That was a failure.

None of it happened.  And not only did it not happen under the surge, Nouri's just appointed new members to the Justice and Accountability Commission -- that's de-Ba'athification commission.  That was supposed to be done away with during the surge.  None of it happened.

That's basic and many people can say that straight forward. (An idiot couldn't say it straight forward to Katie Couric on the CBS Evening News.  Think I mean Sarah Palin?  No, the first stammering can't answer the question interview was with Barack.)  The US military did their part.  That's all that happened.  And it wasn't Petraeus job to get the political ball moving.  That was the job of people like Brett McGurk.


It's amazing that he wants to claim credit for basically being the point person on the surge when the only part that succeeded succeeded because of Gen Petraeus and those service members under him.  McGurk had nothing to do with that.  Talk about a glory hog.

And how shameful that the Committee let that pass.  The whoring for this administration out of Congress is becoming a national embarrassment.  You either start working for the country or start campaigning under a street lamp -- preferably a red street lamp.   If you're tired of whoring how about you start addressing the needs of the United States?  If the US needs an ambassador to Iraq, then they need a qualified one.  Your refusal to ask hard questions did not make it appear that you were the least bit interested in McGurk's qualifications or, more to the point, his lack of them.

And don't for a moment think that the Republicans did a better job.  Senator James Risch began his lecture praising McGurk's "expertise" and saying no one could question it.  Really?  There are a lot of people questioning just that?  His experience is non-stop failure.


To Ranking Member Richard Lugar, McGurk would assert, "Quite frankly, our presence is too large."  This moments after stating he was involved in every bit of planning and discussions for the drawndown. 


The American presence is too large in Baghdad post drawdown?


Well, I guess after two years, you can judge that . . .  What's that?  It hasn't been two years?  That's right.  It wasn't even six months before Tim Arango began reporting ("U.S. May Scrap Costly Efforts to Train Iraqi Police") the State Dept was exploring scaling back the presence -- and he was wrongly slammed for that reporting by the State Dept.  If I was involved in every bit of planning for the post-drawndown phase and, less than six months later, the Department was belatedly realizing the planning had all been wrong, I would expect people to question me on that.  I certainly wouldn't think I could get away with citing my involvement in poor planning as a plus and reason to consider me for a post as ambassador.


But the Senators didn't object, didn't question.  When Tim Arango was reporting on this consdieration, he was noting that over $50 million had already been spent on his program in Iraq since the start of the year.  It's a damn shame that the US Senators weren't at all concerned about that wasted money.  They had a witness before them bragging about all he'd done in the planning and the planning is a failure.  You'd think the gas bags would have had a question or two.


Brett McGurk:  In my last assignments in Iraq, I participated in almost every internal conversation -- both inter-agency and in Baghdad -- about how not only to plan the transition after our troops were withdrawing but also uhm, uh-uh, how to get the size down.  Uh, quite frankly, our presence in Iraq right now, uh, is too large.

Welcome to our Zombie Senate.  Here you will find glassy-eyed senators who stumble through a few words but mainly stare off into space as a witness self-incriminates.


We may cover this hearing again tomorrow, there is plenty more to grab to be sure, but we're going stop here.  Yesterday, we covered the e-mails McGurk allegedly sent Wall St. Journal report Gina Chon.  Today Peter Van Buren makes the following points:


I myself could care less what two adults agree to do, married or not, but State has disciplined its own Foreign Service Officers for extra marital affairs, and cautions against using official email for too-personal correspondence. Always want to keep an eye on double-standards so they don't negatively influence morale among the troops.


I do care what McGurk did.  He concealed the relationship from Ryan Crocker who was his superior and the US Ambassador to Iraq.  When I objected yesterday I didn't see how someone who did that could then be US Ambassador to Iraq.  I was unaware that McGurk was married (he got married in 2006).  As Peter Van Buren notes, that is considered a no-no.  So he didn't just waste time in a war zone pursuing a bootie call, he also did so while married. 

There are two comments currently at Van Buren's post.  I agree with both of them but I want to echo the second one.  The State Dept has gone after Peter.  They have targeted him for being a whistle blower.  But they think the best the US can offer for a post as ambassador is someone who violated their own policies in 2008 while in Iraq.  (That's not the only time in Iraq that McGurk violated the policies.  Had I known he was married yesterday I wouldn't have stated that he had many affairs while in Iraq.  But I've already stated that so we will note, pursuit of affairs was not limited to Gina Chon.)  And they know this.  And yet they want to go after Peter?

The State Dept should take their little comedy act on the road.
 


Maybe USA Today's Jim Michaels could be their opening act?  "Six months after the last U.S. combat troops left, an Iraq free of Saddam Hussein and overseen by a democratically elected government midwifed by the United States is standing on its own despite ever-present dangers from within and outside its borders."  Good for Michaels for not falling into the press trap of claiming all US troops left.  You still have some acting to guard the embassy and consulates, you still have special ops and you still have others.  And it does matter to those whose loved ones are the ones still stationed in Iraq (that's not even counting the ones stationed around it).  So good for him there.


But democratically elected government?


If you say the "government of Iraq" to most people in the US, their image is Nouri al-Maliki.  He wasn't democratically elected.  His political slate (State of Law) came in second to Iraqiya (headed by Ayad Allawi).  Nouri's only prime minister today because he pouted and threw a temper tantrum for eight months (Political Stalemate I) and had the White House and Iranian government in Tehran both backing him.  The US pushed through the Erbil Agreement.  That's what gave him a second term.  And when he got what he wanted from the agreement that he signed off on, he refused to follow the Erbil Agreement, he refused to honor the concessions he had promised and put into writing.  And that is the ongoing Political Stalemate II, generally refered to as "the political crisis."

The political crisis has led to a call for

Al Mada notes that 176 signatures have been collected to call for a vote of no-confidence.  The Media Line observes, "That leaves Maliki with a motley assortment of backers: his own State of Law coalition, which commands less than a third of the seats in parliament; Tehran; and Washington. Yet, followers of Iraq's murky and ever-shifting politics say, Maliki isn't a goner yet."   Of course not, it's never easy to get rid of cockroaches, Wile E. Coyote or  rodents.  Al Mada notes State of Law continues to insist that the White House won't allow Nouri to be removed from his post and that US Vice President Joe Biden will be visiting soon.



That a visit from Joe Biden is seen as the saving grace for Nouri goes to how estranged the White House is from the longterm US allies in the KRG.  Nouri al-Maliki used to hate Senator Joe.  Couldn't stand him.   Because Joe was among those telling the truth publicly that Nouri was nothing but a petty thug.


Now the KRG feels they can't trust the White House (they're right) and Thug Nouri feels he can.  You have to wonder what and who the administration won't sell out before Barack leaves the White House?

 Al Mada reports that the Sadr bloc states that they are under intense pressure from Iran's Shi'ite government to back down in the call for a no confidence vote against Nouri (Shi'ite). As AFP noted this afternoon, Nouri's response was to declare that "foreign influence" was behind Iraq's problems.  As usual, he tossed around terms like "conspiracy" and played the persecuted drama queen.



You don't have to ignore sectarian conflict and you shouldn't.  The truth is the truth.  But you also shouldn't mischaracterize to pimp the lie of sectarian conflict among government officisls.  There is unity in the government against Nouir.



Alsumaria notes that Iraqi President Jalal Talabani went ahead and forwarded the signatures forthe no-confidence vote and that Talabani is insisting that he didn't sign on himself. 



If Nouri wanted to stop a vote, all he would have to do -- Moqtada has stated this publicly -- is implement the Erbil Agreement he agreed to in November 2010.  He's refused to.  All this time.  And he's harmed Iraq in the process.  There are no heads of the security ministries because Nouri's refused to nominate any.  Grasp that.  Grasp there is no Minister of Defense.  Because of Nouri.  Violence is up in Iraq and this comes and that hasn't forced Nouri to nominate.  His 'antics' have hurt Iraq in the international business community as well.  Daniel J. Graeber (OilPrice.com) observed last night:




On Monday, a suicide bomber in Iraq detonated his car bomb outside the Baghdad offices of a government-backed Shiite group, leaving at least 190 people wounded and 26 people dead. The attack was said to bear the hallmarks of al-Qaida, suggesting sectarian warfare is far from over in Iraq. The attack comes as Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki faces enduring challenges to his administration. That's hardly the investment climate envisioned for a post-Saddam Iraq. As if to emphasize that point, international oil companies showed little interest in Iraq's latest oil and natural gas auction.



Turning to the US.  When Michael Ratner isn't in the courtroom for the Bradley Manning pre-court martial hearings, you can count on him to Retweet coverage from people who were.   
Defense can view teh redacted "draft" damage rassessment at DIA HQ, discussion of Defense due to logistical issues 1/2 #frebrad
Can you say ridiculous? At one point Prosecution says, "These are the laws and procedures that make America so great." #freebrad #wikileaks


 Bradley Manning's court-martial is scheduled to begin September 21st.  Monday April 5, 2010, WikiLeaks released US military video of a July 12, 2007 assault in Iraq. 12 people were killed in the assault including two Reuters journalists Namie Noor-Eldeen and Saeed Chmagh. Monday June 7, 2010, the US military announced that they had arrested Bradley Manning and he stood accused of being the leaker of the video. Leila Fadel (Washington Post) reported in August 2010 that Manning had been charged -- "two charges under the Uniform Code of Military Justice. The first encompasses four counts of violating Army regulations by transferring classified information to his personal computer between November and May and adding unauthorized software to a classified computer system. The second comprises eight counts of violating federal laws governing the handling of classified information." In March, 2011, David S. Cloud (Los Angeles Times) reported that the military has added 22 additional counts to the charges including one that could be seen as "aiding the enemy" which could result in the death penalty if convicted. The Article 32 hearing took place in December.  At the start of this year, there was an Article 32 hearing and, February 3rd, it was announced that the government would be moving forward with a court-martial.  Bradley has yet to enter a plea and has neither affirmed that he is the leaker nor denied it.




Dominating the first of what is expected to be a three-day pre-trial hearing was Manning's civilian attorney, David Coombs, arguing that the prosecution is withholding key materials needed to build a solid defense.
On the other side of the aisle, Army Maj. Ashden Fein, the lead prosecutor, called the defense's 'unreasonable' request for documents, many of which he said were irrelevant to the case, a ploy to slow down the proceedings.  He insisted, however, that the government is going "above and beyond" its legal obligations and is turning over the materials as quickly as possible.

CNN reports, "Among the charges requested to be dropped against Manning are eight specifications of unauthorized transmission under the Espionage Act and two charges of exceeding authorized access, according to a Military District of Washington legal spokesman who is not authorized to use his name."  David Usborne (Indpendent) notes "Bradley, Not seen since his last hearing in April, Pte Manning looked thin and fragile seated between members of his defence team inside the military courtroom at the base, which is about 30 minutes north of Washington DC. He has been in custody since his arrest in May 2010 on suspicion of passing diplomatic cables and military logs from operations in Iraq and Afghanistan to the anti-secrecy website founded by Julian Assange."

US Senator Patty Murray Chairs the Senate Veterans Affairs Committee. Her office notes:


VETERANS: Murray, Kohl, Tester, Wyden Call on Consumer Financial Protection Bureau to Investigate Companies Marketing Inappropriate Financial Products and Services to Veterans
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Murray Press Office
(202) 224-2834
Wednesday, June 6
 
Senators: Companies are taking advantage of elderly veterans and their family members
(Washington, D.C.) – Today, U.S. Senator Patty Murray (D-WA), Chairman of the Senate Veterans' Affairs Committee joined with Senators Herb Kohl (D-WI), Jon Tester (D-MT), and Ron Wyden (D-OR) in calling on Director Richard Cordray of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, to investigate and take enforcement action against companies that may be inappropriately marketing and selling financial services and products to elderly veterans. They also called upon Director Cordray to alert veterans to the practices of companies that are taking advantage of elderly veterans.
"We believe the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB)
and specifically the Office for Older Americans and the Office of Servicemember Affairs are in a unique position to assist us in educating elderly veterans and family members and stopping improper practices that may be occurring," the Senators write in
the letter. "For this reason, we request that you investigate these practices to determine the feasibility of enforcement actions within CFPB's authority. We also request that you assist us in gathering information related to these companies and practices and the
impact they are having on our nation's veterans. Finally, we ask
that you work with us to better educate veterans, their families and veteran advocates about VA's pension program and the practices of certain companies."
The full text of the letter follows:
June 6, 2012
The Honorable Richard Cordray
Director
Consumer Financial Protection Bureau
1801 L Street, NW
Washington, DC 20036
Dear Mr. Cordray:
 
For many elderly veterans and their families, understanding, planning,
and paying for long-term care has become a tremendous challenge.
The Department of Veterans Affairs' (VA) pension program, which
provides monthly benefits to eligible low-income wartime veterans and
their
surviving spouses, can help in meeting basic financial needs. Pension recipients
may also be eligible for additional aid if they require assistance with
activities of daily living. For eligible veterans and survivors, these
benefits may allow them to receive necessary quality care in their own homes, assisted living facilities or nursing homes.
 
Over the past several months, our offices have received a number of complaints from veterans and their family members about companies
that may be inappropriately marketing and selling financial services and products to elderly veterans. We are deeply troubled because such practices may adversely impact eligibility for both VA and other Federal benefits, such as Medicaid. Often these financial services and products may involve substantial fees and may not be properly suited for elderly veterans. Further, some of these companies fail to offer accurate advice
on other available benefits, often to the detriment of the veteran
or survivor.
 
 
We have also encountered companies that grant veterans deferred payments on assisted living facility costs for either a certain time period or until receipt of VA pension benefits. However, because of the method by which VA computes pension eligibility, such practices may in fact
negatively impact a veteran's eligibility for pension benefits. The Senate Committee on Veterans' Affairs has provided assistance to a number of veterans who found themselves facing eviction from assisted living facilities at the end of the deferral period because VA had not completed adjudication of their claim or they were ultimately found ineligible for pension benefits.
 
We believe the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB)
and specifically the Office for Older Americans and the Office of Servicemember Affairs are in a unique position to assist us in educating elderly veterans and family members and stopping improper practices
that may be occurring. For this reason, we request that you investigate these practices to determine the feasibility of enforcement actions
within CFPB's authority. We also request that you assist us in gathering information related to these companies and practices and the impact
they are having on our nation's veterans. Finally, we ask that you work
 with us
to better educate veterans, their families and veteran advocates about
VA's pension program and the practices of certain companies.

The Committee on Veterans' Affairs and the Special Committee on Aging will continue to review these issues and work to ensure eligible veterans
and survivors receive the benefits they have earned. We appreciate your attention to this request and look forward to your participation in serving
our veterans and their families.
###

Tuesday, June 05, 2012

He didn't even try

"World War Wisconsin" (Hillary Is 44):
Update I: Bill Clinton not exactly a boon to Obama? We hope not. We’ve written for years that Bill and Barack on a stage diminishes Barack.
The HotAirs note that Roger Simon’s fury ignores that Bill is not alone in tackling Obama on Bain/Romney. But the Simon article is wrong on many facts. An apoplectic, full of rage, Simonthe “race-baiting came from Barack Obama not the Clintons. perpetuates the lies of the 2008 Obama campaign about Bill Clinton’s “fairy tale” line about Barack Obama. Simon also trots out the myths that it was a Hillary defeat in South Carolina and Clinton “race-baiting” that prompted Ted Kennedy and Caroline Kennedy to endorse Obama. Ted and Caroline had secretly decided before Iowa to endorse Obama (as had John Kerry). Further
Bill Clinton hasn’t had this much fun in a long time and anyone who wants Obama defeated should help Bill Clinton as he slaps “supports” Obama in a very peculiar way instead of getting their jollies with sophomoric humor. As we wrote below, it’s not about Bill Cllinton, today is about Wisconsin and then on to November.
——————————————————————————————
This is going to be a day filled with updates. It’s the biggest primary day of the year. California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Carolina vote in House elections. Bill Clinton is backing candidates running against Barack Obama candidates in California and New Jersey (Howard Berman vs. Brad Sherman in California, Bill Pascrell vs. Steve Rothman in New Jersey).
The story today is not “out of control” Bill Clinton, as Obama protecting Politico has it. The story today is not Bill Clinton at a fundraiser with Obama last night, crowing and mocking Barack ObamaAnd, I care about the long term debt of the country a lot. Remember me, I’m the only guy that gave you four surplus budgets out of the eight I sent.” to his face:: “

Yes, Bill Clinton worked for the country.  He worked to improve the economy.  He actually did improve the economy and he deserves real praise for that; however, if Barack had even tried to work on the economy, I think people would be less inclined to see him as the failure that he is.

If he had tried and lost, put in some real work and had it not worked, there are people who would say, "Well, he tried.  At least he tried." 

But Barack never tried.  When people were losing their homes, he didn't do a damn thing to help them.  He always had money to give to businesses, but nothing to protect people from losing their home and no FDR style works programs to provide employment.

He's just a namby pamby failure who posed for a lot of magazine covers, did a lot of TV talk shows and otherwise could be found on the golf course or the basketball court.

He was one prissy little thing for four years, spending like crazy (our money) to entertain while the country was in the midst of an economic crisis.  What a lousy president.

Let's hope that come November we can say Bye-bye to Barry and Michelle.  



"Iraq snapshot" (The Common Ills):

Tuesday, June 5, 2012.  Chaos and violence continue,  Brett McGurk intends to take himself and his self-admitted "blue balls" before the Senate Foreign Policy Committee tomorrow, whether he will be asked by the senators whether it was appropriate to engage in an affair with a reporter while stationed in Iraq or to conceal it from his supervisors remains an unknown, Moqtada says they have enough signatures to call for a no-confidence vote on Nouri al-Maliki, poverty and sanitation rates released by an Iraqi ministry do not demonstrate progress, and more.
 
 
 
In recent times there have been several attempts to block the nomination of an ambassador.  Republican Senators successfully blocked Mari Carmen Aponte from the post of Ambassador to El Salvador.  Prior to that, Democrats successfully blocked the nomination of John Bolton and then Bully Boy Bush recess nominated only to have Bolton step down after the 2006 mid-term elections when Democrats won control of both houses. Democrats blocked Gene Cretz's nomination successfully as well (Bush nominated, Democratic senators had a problem not with Cretz but with sending an ambassador to Libya, he was confirmed near the end of Novembe 2008).  Tomorrow morning the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee will hold a hearing on three nominations.  Senator Bob Casey will be acting Chair.  (John Kerry is the Chair of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee). It will most likely be very boring and run of the mill.  Why?
 
As the above examples demonstrate, in recent times, objections only come from the party not occupying the White House.
 
The Senate has a job to do and they don't take it seriously.
 
They can argue that all they want but the reality is that while Susan Marsh Elliott's nomination to be the US Ambassador to the Republic of Tajikistan and Michele Jeanne Sison's nomination to be the US Ambassdor to the Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka (while also serving as US Ambassador to the Republic of Maldives) may not be controversial, Brett McGurk's nomination to be the US Ambassador to Iraq should be very controversial.
 
Setting aside who the nominee is, just the fact that this White House has nominated someone to be US Ambassador to Iraq should be controversial.
 
When Barack Obama was president-elect and not yet sworn in, then-US Ambassador Ryan Crocker kindly offered to continue in his role until Barack could find a replacement.  Barack thanked him for that offer and took him up on it.  So far, so good.
 
Then came the nomination of Chris Hill and the Senate Foreign Relations Committee -- on the Democrat side -- refused to do their job.  They waived through a moron.  An obvious moron as demonstrated in his March 25, 2009 confirmation hearing (those late to the party can refer to the March 25, 2009 snapshot and the March 26th snapshot for coverage and gasp in amazement that Hill -- after being briefed on the issue -- still had no grasp on Article 140 of the Iraqi Constitution or the issue of Kirkuk).  Hill was a supposed trained and accomplished diplomat (his personnel file begged to differ) but under him nothing got resolved and the long delay in the elections also comes under his watch.  Iraq falls apart under his watch, it can be argued.  I heard all about his "low energy levels" while in Iraq, his napping on the job, his inability to communicate with anyone (the then-top US commander in Iraq, Gen Ray Odierno carried both the Defense Dept and the State Dept all by himself because Hill couldn't be counted on; Odierno had to do double duty and Hill was said to be resentful over all the work Ordierno took on -- work Odierno had to take on when Hill either couldn't or just wouldn't do it).  Peter Van Buren published the book We Meant Well: How I helped Lose the Battle for the Hearts and Minds of the Iraqi People, he's a whistle blower now being targeted by the White House.  And until he posted the grossly offensive photos of Hill and a 'colleague' earlier this year, I wasn't aware that Hill was also mocking the assassination of JFK.  Chris Hill was a disaster and we said he would be after his hearing.  But he was much worse than anyone could have imagined and he owes the American people an apology for that little stunt where he mocked JFK and Jackie Kennedy Onassis.  He wasn't hired for his 'cutting edge comedy,' he was paid by the tax payers to be a diplomat and there was nothing diplomatic about turning the assassination of a sitting US President and the horror of the First Lady who saw her husband assassinated into a cheap joke.   If you missed that, refer to Peter Van Buren's blog here and here.  And maybe then you'll understand why so many -- especially US military officers in Iraq -- could not believe that this moron made it through a confirmation hearing. 
 
Having made that disaster, the same Committee should be very careful. Proof of Hill's complete failure, July 20, 2010 the Senate Foreign Relations Committee was holding a hearing on James Jeffrey's nomination to be the US Ambassador to Iraq.  In his hearing, Jeffrey proved himself to be competent and aware of the issues.  He has now left his post and we're not supposed to note that or to comment on the why of it.  He went in thrilled to have the post and worked very hard at it.  You'd think the press would be interested why he no longer wanted it.  But the press doesn't report, they fawn.
 
What does the Senate Foreign Relations Committee do?  Is the attitude of Democrats on the Committee that Barack can't win a second term? 
 
If that's their attitude than the hearing really doesn't matter.  You're talkin gabout someone who will be voted on by the end of the month or early July so he'd only be in Iraq for a few months before the new president was sworn in.
 
So maybe tomorrow the Democrats won't be asking tough questions because they don't think Barack Obama can win re-election.
 
If they do think he can, then they need to be asking some serious questions of the nominee.  It is not normal to be on your third ambassador to a country in less than four years. 
 
A death might excuse that number but there have been no deaths. The previous two left government service to get out of the job.  Clearly, the confirmation hearings have been a failure.  The Senate Foreign Relations Committee should grasp that.
 
The nominee should have to explain what their committment to the job is, how long they could conceivably hold it and what they intend to bring to the table?
 
Iraq is supposedly a major issue to the US.  It should be.  US taxpayers saw trillions go into that illegal war.  The world saw millions of Iraqis die,  4488 US service members die (DoD count), 'coalition' partners losses, an unknown number of contractors, reporters and many more.  And you'd think with all that blood, with all those lives lost, with all that money wasted, that the US government would take the post of Ambassador to Iraq seriously.  One president having three nominees in one term -- an ongoing term -- does not indicate that serious work has been done either by the White House or the Senate.
 
All of the above would be for any person nominated today to that post.  In addition to the above, McGurk is woefully unsuited for the job.  He should be asked to explain his administrative experience.  He's not heading a desk in a vacation getaway.  If confirmed, he would be heading the most expensive US embassy project.  That's even with talk of staffing cuts and talk of this and talk of that.  Even now the US diplomatic presence in Iraq is the big ticket item in the US State Dept's budget.  What in his record says to the American people, "Your tax dollars are not about to AGAIN be wasted?"
 
Iraq is highly unstable.  The US should not be sending Ambassador Number 3 since 2009.  But it's in that position now because people trusted to do the work -- vetting the nominee, confirming the nominee -- didn't do their jobs.
 
Democrats saw it as, "One of our own is in the White House! Whatever he wants!" That's not why you were elected to the Senate and you have wasted tax payer money with this continued turnover of this post.  At a time when sequestering looms over the budget, the notion that the Senate Foreign Relations Committee thinks it can just waive this appointment through is inexcusable.
 
Unless of course, we're to infer that the Senate doesn't feel the position matters because they're assuming Barack will lose in November so McGurk would only briefly be in position until Mitt Romney could nominate his own ambassador.
 
Donna Cassata (AP) reports that "members of the panel saying they saw no obstacles to McGurk winning their approval to the posting to one of the United States' largest diplomatic mission in the world."  That should be "some members."  Even her own report notes that Senator John McCain is not gung-hu. McCain's not the only one.  I count three others that might ask difficult questions and rise to the occassion and to the duties of their office. Cassata feels the need to offer, "While violence has dropped sharply in recent years, attacks on Iraqi government offices and members of the security forces are still occuring."  That's so damn offensive.
 
The Iraqi people don't matter, Donna Cassata?  Just the "government offices and members of the security forces"?  Not only is that insulting it's inaccurate.  Siobhan Gorman, Adam Entous and Ali A. Nabhan (Wall St. Journal) reported on the National Counterterrorism Center's statements of "an uptick in attacks by al Qaeda's Iraq affiliate" since December and, "Recent U.S. intelligence reports show the number of attacks have risen this year to 25 per month, compared with an average of 19 for each month last year, according to a person familiar with them."
 
McGurk could become the new Ambassador to Iraq . . .  blue balls and all.
 
What's that?  Click here for some of his alleged e-mail correspondence with Gina Chon who covered Iraq for the Wall Street Journal.  It appears real and I'm told it is real.  What were the ethics of his being sent to Iraq by the US government and his beginning an affair with Chon?  Is he really supposed to be using taxpayer computers to send Chon messages about "I had a very real case of blue balls last night! I think they're still blue."? He was working under Ryan Crocker and a June 23, 2008 e-mail to Chon makes it clear that Crocker was unaware that his staffer was sleeping with a reporter for a news outlet ("[. . .] you would indeed provoke serious head scratching on Ryan's part").
 
To be very clear, I'm not quoting Gina Chon's e-mails and have no interest in them.  The reason being she's a reporter.  Her paper paid for her to be in Iraq.  US taxpayers paid for McGurk.  US taxpayers paid for American soldiers as well.  It was not assumed that the US soldiers would be sleeping there way through Iraq.  In fact, anything they did like that, they were expected to do while on leave.  I don't understand how a government employee went to Iraq -- a war zone -- and thought it was okay to romance a reporter and thought it was okay not to inform his superior of this little hidden dance.
 
If McGurk is confirmed, will he be able to focus in Iraq or will his self-admitted "blue balls" demand that he find 'relief' with a reporter?
 
Soldiers had to focus on their missions, I'm amazed that McGurk, now nominated to be the US Ambassador to Iraq, didn't have the same requirement.  I also wonder, of this man with so little administrative experience, how he would be able to model appropriate behavior or, if need be, discipline for inappropriate behavior? 
 
Will anyone have the guts to ask him tomorrow why he didn't inform Crocker of his entanglement with a member of the press?
 
Again, the exchange is here.  Gina Chon did not work for the government.  She was free to do whatever she wanted with her time and I'm making no comment on her or any sort of judgment.  I feel badly about linking to these exchanges that include her e-mails; however, the US Embassy in Iraq has been a story of too much sex and too little work.  Again, don't expect the Senate to provide the oversight that they're supposed to.
 
And Iraq's a country where the people need a friend.  Alsumaria reports that 70% of the urban areas are without proper sanitation.  The numbers are from the Ministry of Planning.  They also claim that 79% of the people say that they have safe drinking water.  That doesn't mean that (a) they have safe drinking water out of the pipe.  Saying you have "safe" drinking water may merely mean that you know to boil it before drinking it -- which is far more likely when you look at the lack of sanitation.  Also true (b) the cholera outbreaks each fall indicate that a number of Iraqis either don't know about safe drinking water or don't think they can be harmed themselves.  This is not a minor issue, this is a human rights issue.  And for those who might fret that I'm on the soapbox again, although I agree with that definition, I'm not the one making it, the Foreign Ministry of Iraq defines human rights with a long list which does include the right to safe water and to sanitation.
 
Poverty is also defined as a human rights issue by the Iraqi government.  Ministry of Planning spokesperson Abdul Zahra al-Hindawi states that it is the lack of electricity that is hurting water and sanitation.  The Minister of Planning, Ali Yousef Shukri, tells Alsumaria that the unemployment rate in Iraq stands at 16% while the poverty rate is approximately 11%.  You can be sure both numbers are actually higher.   And the UN estimates the poverty rate to be 23% while youth unemployment is 30% and total unemployment is 15%.   But how does an oil rich country ever justify poverty in its borders?  The Ministry of Oil is yet again bragging about estimates including that in the next 20 years they expect oil revenues to bring in five trillion dollars.  Five trillion dollars.  How do justify poverty in Iraq?
 
 
 
Meanwhile Al Mada reports that the Parliamentary Integrity Committee is stating that Nouri has taken their files and the fear appears to be that he will use them to go after political rivals.  One Commssion member states that the work of the Commission for the past months has now vanished.
 
Dina al-Shibeeb (Al Arabiya) speaks with two analysts of Iraqi politics, Ahmed al-Abyadh and Amer al-Tamimi:
 
"If the majority of the political factions in Iraq agree to unseat Maliki, the United States cannot convince or stop them from doing so," he said.
"If Maliki falls," Tamimi said, "that there are two possible outcomes: one, a national partnership government will be formed or two, a struggle to agree on Maliki's substitute will ensue which could lead to the setting up of a caretaker government."

 
Al Mada reports there are rumors that Iraqi President Jalal Talabani has signed on to the no-confidence vote on Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki. Alsumaria notes that today Talabani announced the formation of a committee to vet the authenticity of the signatures on the motion for a no-confidence vote.  Alsumaria reports sources tell them that there are 40 signatures from the Sadr bloc, 48 from the Kurdish bloc, 75 from Iraqiya, 3 from minority seats and 9 from the National Alliance. That would add up to 175.  Al Rafidayn reports Moqtada al-Sadr announced there were 176 signatures yesterday. Either Alsumaria missed one in their reporting or else one signed on after.  More interesting is Nouri's public boasting that the White House will save him -- and rumors that Vice President Joe Biden will make a visit to Iraq -- by "persuading" some signees to leave the list.  Nouri's not usually so publci about how dependent upon the White House he is.   Al Rafidayn notes that Nouri spent yesterday disputing the validity of signatures.  Al Mada adds that the National Alliance is being urged to propose an alternative to Nouri.

It's the ongoing political crisis.  And Nouri could end it at any time -- Moqtada al-Sadr has publicly stated so -- by merely implementing the Erbil Agreement.  But Nouri has refused to do so.

In March 2010, Iraq held parliamentary elections.  Nouri had a fit and demanded a recount.  Even after the recount his State of Law was still second place to Iraqiya (led by Ayad Allawi).  So like a big cry baby, he dug his feet in and refused to allow the process to go forward.  For eight months, Political Stalemate I, he refused to allow the Constitutional process to go forward and he was able to get away with it because he had the backing of the White House and of the Iranian government in Tehran.

Running interference for him, the US-brokered the Erbil Agreement.  It allowed loser Nouri to have a second term as prime minister.  The willful child had exhausted everyone's patience and the other blocs tried to be mature and put Iraq ahead of everything else.  So they agreed to let Nouri have a second term as prime minister provided he made concessions (such as following the Constitution's Article 140).  He signed off on it and the US vouched for the agreement, it was legal, it would be followed, let's all move forward.

Then when Nouri got his second term, he trashed the agreement, refused to abide by the contract and the same White House that brokered the contract now refused to call for it to be followed.
 
UPI notes, "Even fellow Shiites are saying Maliki, who controls all Iraq's military, security and intelligence forces, should go. At the same time, Tehran is seeking to ensure that Iraq's Shiites don't upstage Iran's long-held spiritual domination of the Shite sect, a position that the Iranian clergy seized

Read more: http://www.upi.com/Top_News/Special/2012/06/05/Iran-steps-in-to-prop-up-Iraqs-Maliki/UPI-79511338917097/#ixzz1wxoxUc2y
"
 
Last night came news that the CIA was contemplating drawing down its presence in Iraq.   The CIA, still in Iraq?  Yes.  Last December, Ted Koppel filed an important report on Rock Center with Brian Williams (NBC).

MR. KOPPEL: I realize you can't go into it in any detail, but I would assume that there is a healthy CIA mission here. I would assume that JSOC may still be active in this country, the joint special operations. You've got FBI here. You've got DEA here. Can, can you give me sort of a, a menu of, of who all falls under your control?


AMB. JAMES JEFFREY: You're actually doing pretty well, were I authorized to talk about half of this stuff.



Yes, the CIA continued in Iraq after the 'withdrawal' (remember, the Pentagon always called it a drawdown -- the press and the White House insisted on using "withdrawal').  So you have the CIA, Joint Special Operations Command, the DEA and the FBI. As well as thousands of contractors, Marines to guard the US Embassy and 'trainers.'


Siobhan Gorman, Adam Entous and Ali A. Nabhan (Wall St. Journal) reported last night that the CIA was considering cutting its staffing in Iraq?  Cutting it all?  No.  Cutting it to 40% less than it was in 2011.  Why?  Maybe the clue comes from the Ministry of Interior's Hassan Kokaz who states of the US in Iraq today, "We have asked them to wear civilian clothes and not military uniforms and to be searched when they visit Iraqi institutions.  Perhaps they are not used to this."  How major is the story?  It actually led to Iraq being raised at today's US State Dept press briefing (link is text and video).  Mark Toner was the spokesperson handling today's briefing.
MR. TONER: Let's go Iraq and then back to you.
 
QUESTION: Yeah. Mark, I wanted to ask you if you'd -- if you have any comment on plans by the CIA to scale back its presence in Iraq, and how does that impact the presence of your personnel at the Embassy?
 
MR. TONER: Well, I certainly can't speak to the matters raised in the article that you mention. I would just say that we continue to work closely through the Embassy as well as through our Office of Security Cooperation to support Iraqi Security Forces.
 
QUESTION: Are U.S. diplomats able to conduct their business in Iraq freely and let's say the consulates in Mosul and Basra and places like that?
 
MR. TONER: Yes. We believe that they -- that our -- as I said, our cooperation with Iraqi security forces is very good.
 
QUESTION: Okay. And finally, would the U.S. continue to conduct its diplomatic efforts in Iraq as usual with a lessened number of, let's say, contractors?
 
MR. TONER: I'm sorry?
 
QUESTION: With a scaled-back number of contractors that provide security?
 
MR. TONER: Well, as we've talked about before, we're looking at possible changes in reductions in our footprint in Iraq. But as we always say, the safety and security of our personnel on the ground is paramount.
 
 
As the war drums continue to pound against Syria, Professor Joshua Landis warns against foreign intervention at Foreign Policy.  Excerpt.
 
Anyone who believes that Syria will avoid the excesses of Iraq -- where the military, government ministries, and Baath Party were dissolved and criminalized -- is dreaming. Syrian government institutions and the security forces will fall apart once the revolution prevails. They are overwhelmingly staffed by Baathists, Alawites, and other minorities, recruited for loyalty to President Bashar al-Assad -- no revolutionary government will keep them on. Their dismissal will provide fodder for a counterinsurgency, promoting greater chaos across the country.
 
 
We'll close with "Obama's list of death" (Great Britain's Socialist Worker):
 
The presidential election campaign is well and truly under way in the US. Barack Obama wants to banish any lingering illusions that he might be an anti-war president.
Long gone is the candidate who opposed the "bad war" in Iraq, opposed rendition and promised to close Guantanamo Bay.
Timely revelations from White House insiders this week present him coolly signing off on "kill lists" for deadly drone attacks in Yemen, Somalia and Pakistan.
He wants everyone to remember that he is the man who took out Osama Bin Laden.
Obama has resolved the "kill or capture" dilemma by relying on drones which kill indiscriminately.
Since he was elected the number of deaths by drone strikes has soared. It's impossible to obtain clear figures for civilian casualties—the US military always claims that all men of military age who die are "combatants".
Drone attacks have the added benefit for him of not putting US lives at risk. The operators are safe in a Nevada bunker.
And fear of drones that could strike at any moment is intended to terrorise populations, giving US troops the space to get out.
Obama was never really anti‑war—he was just against George Bush's strategy for war.
The establishment backed his election to pursue US imperialist interests by different methods.
But today those methods will seem little different to people living in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

© Socialist Worker (unless otherwise stated). You may republish if you include an active link to the original.
 

 
afp

Monday, June 04, 2012

The killer

Isaiah's The World Today Jut Nuts "The Shooting Range."

the shooting range

Barack killed the economy.  And for more on that topic, you can see the editorial we wrote at Third yesterday, "Editorial: He Killed The Economy."

Let’s make something perfectly clear so that the bobbleheads at DailyKooks don’t get their springs all stretched out trying to figure us out yet again: We think Obama is the kiss of death and if he goes to Wisconsin it will finish off Tom Barrett and that is why we want him to go. We want to keep Barack Obama in this lose/lose ditch he has placed himself in.
In 2009 we goaded Barack to go to blue New Jersey to defend Jon Corzine in his reelection race. Barack went to the Garden State and the angel of death soon followed.
Likewise, in 2009 we double dared Barack to go to true blue Massachusetts to rescue Martha Coakley against truck driving Scott Brown. Barack fell into the trap and the angel of death feasted yet again. The overweight angel of death also feasted on Deeds in Virginia that year after Obama traveled to help him.
2010 proved again that Obama Is Poison. In 2010 Obama made a promise to those running for election which proved to be a death threat: “You’ve got me.”:

Barack is a walking death threat.  If you doubt that, you missed Bill Van Auken's latest at WSWS:


The Obama administration ordered new drone attacks on Pakistan over the weekend, killing at least a dozen people in the tribal area of South Waziristan.
Sunday’s strike involved two drones, which fired two missiles each into a home and a car in the Wana district of the northwestern Pakistan tribal region near the Afghan border. Ten people were killed, and another ten wounded.
The attack was mounted as men came to offer condolences to the family of an alleged commander of the Maulvi Nazir group, one of what differing accounts put at between two and four men killed less than 24 hours earlier in a Saturday drone strike.
The group, led by Nazir Ahmed, is considered by the Pakistani government as “good Taliban”, because it does not seek to overthrow the regime in Islamabad and has rarely opposed the presence of the Pakistani army in South Waziristan. It has united, however, with other Pashtun groups on both sides of the border to fight the US-led occupation of Afghanistan.
The attack on a group offering condolences is in line with previous strikes that have targeted funerals for drone attack victims, as well as rescuers attempting to dig dead and wounded from the rubble left by Hellfire missile strikes.

Killer Barry.  I know that makes Carl Davidson's tiny penis wag but it does nothing for me except make me sick to my stomach.  Barack Obama is a killer and he's killing in our name.  It's disgusting.  He should be locked away along with everyone else working on this program.


I remember when Bush was in office, a group came along called Not In Our Name.  Where are they now?  When they are most needed?

They broke up.  Little Whores for Obama, didn't you know.  As Barack was doing his primary dance, Not In Our Name disbanded. 

I thought they stood for something.  They stood for nothing.  They didn't want to stop anything but the right-wing.  They didn't give a damn about killing people.  Did Ani DiFranco -- one of the NIONs -- say one damn word against the racist Libya War?  Hell to the nah.  Cracker idiot. 

And that's pretty much the whole damn group.

 "Iraq snapshot" (The Common Ills):


Monday, June 4, 2012.  Chaos and violence continue, Baghdad is slammed with a bombing, the political crisis continues, Moqtada al-Sadr makes a statement,  and more.
If someone had never heard of Michael Rubin and you told them about him, they'd probably laugh and assume you were attempting to be amusing.  Michael Rubin does actually exist and, sadly, he's 100% serious.  At Commentary, Rubin yet again plays his the-sky-is-falling card.  He's played it so many times that you have to wonder if maybe there aren't actually pigeons in the trees around his home.  Most dramatically, he played the sky is falling card when he screamed for war on that 'great threat' to the US, Iraq.  Now days, he's convinced there's a Kurdish threat to the United States, specifically, the Kurds who are part of the Kurdistan Regional Government.  This leads to his psychotic visions of the KRG as "Iran's Trojan Horse."
And he constructs a case that would be very convincing if you didn't pay attention.

Rubin wants you to know that a recent interviw had a figure which surprised him "70 percent of Iran's Iraq trade is with Kurdistan." He then tosses out an excerpt, then he's back, "While jouranlists have reported on Kurdistan Regional Government oil smuggling to Iran, the proportion cited by Hosseini surprised me, so I check the figured  [sic] with the Iraqi embassy in Washington; they confirmed the 70 percent."

He can't seriously be that dumb.  He can be dumb enough to try to fool you, right?  But not dumb enough to really think that the 70% figure is smuggled oil?

Or that the US embassy has a solid number for any alleged smuggled oil?  The whole point of a smuggled good is that it's not officially tracked.  Rubin does get that, right?


I'm not sure.  His link on the 70% goes to this Fars News Agency report -- usually seen as Iranian state press (controlled press) -- and, no, there article on "trade ties" is not about smuggled oil. 

Rubin is currently humping the bed at night in his sleep while dreaming of war on Syria and Iran.  Sometimes people will wonder if the US liars and fools who pimped the Iraq War learned a damn thing?  Michael Rubin is proof positive that, while they continue to have sticky sheets, the boys didn't learn a damn thing.


I do agree with him that the US government and the Kurdistan Regional Government are as far apart currently as they have ever been.  I disagree that this is because most US service members were pulled out of Iraq last December.  The reason that the KRG and the US have problems currently is because the US put together the Erbil Agreement and vouched for it and when Nouri al-Maliki trashed it after it allowed him a second term, the US government refused to stand by the agreement.  That's why there are problems between the two and those problems were in place before November of 2011.  So there's no need to pretend that the December drawdown created it.  And Rubin's generally smarter than he lets on, so he may be aware of that and may be trying to get the US to mend fences by spreading rumors that Tehran and Erbil are locked in an embrace?  It certainly wouldn't be the first time that Rubin 'spun' reality in an attempt to force the US government to do what he desired.


Rubin can take comfort in the fact that he's not the biggest idiot pundit today.  That's Carl Davidson explaining to Matthew Rothschild (Progressive Radio) how the US Communist Party split over Gorbachev and his group ended up being the Committee of Correspondence for Democracy and Socialism ("It started as a split off the Communist Party.  They rebelled over the, you know, Gorbachev question [. . .].")

Even funnier than that is Carl bragging about how he and tired Marilyn Katz set up Barack's speech -- yes, America, Communists Carl and Marilyn set it up -- in 2002, that weak-ass "I'm against Dumb Wars."  Carl's delusion that setting up the speech or that pro-war speech was anything to be proud of is right up there on the absurdity chart with Drew Westen helping compose Barack's 2008 faux race speech and then Drew rushed around online to praise the speech forgetting to note his own input.  Only the careful listeners will note how Carl's still attempted to get back for every real and imagined slight over the last forty or so years.  I thought Eric Alterman's recent media appearences had set the standard for radio bitchy -- where Alterman was insisting that Communists betrayed the left during the McCarthy period because liberals were telling the truth but, Alterman insisted, Communists were lying.  Enter Carl.

Carl's voting for Barack again, he rushes to explain.  Even when Matthew notes the assassination of US citizens, the attack on the Constitution and so much more.  So Barack can again count on the the bourgeoisie Communist support (there are real Communists with real ethics in the US -- Carl doesn't associated with any of those people). Carl does the turkey trot down memory lane on Barack,  "Me and 8 Acorn ladies interviewed him for The New Party."  The New Party was a Chicago Communist Party front 'fusion' party and you can find criticism of it and its lackey ways -- Carl's always been a lackey -- in this Green Party piece from 1996 written by Hank Chapot.  "And then Marilyn Katz and I sat him up to give that first anti-war speech," he brags. 

Barack Obama is a corporatist and we've said that all along.  He's an imperialist as well.  I thought Carl Davidson was the one who spread the rumor that Barack was a Socialist (again, that is a false rumor).  Carl swears it wasn't him.  Elaine and I remember Carl doing that. 

Clearly, the US government has cloned Carl Davidson and that may be the scariest news of the day, dozens of Carls running through the US -- well lumbering.  Dozens of Carls insisting on action . . . after Barack gets four more years.  Dozens of Carls whoring as only he can do.  Truly scary.


With a different take than Carl's 'Barack's so dreamy and groovy, I think he was eyeing me in chem lab and I really, really hope he calls me tonight!!!!" there's the take David Swanson offers in Joanne Boyer's article for Wisdom Voices:

Swanson specifically pointed to the recent New York Times article that described the drone killings by President Obama. "If somehow it had been revealed that Obama was really George W. Bush in disguise, we would have had millions of people surrounding and protesting at the White House. Somehow, we've imagined that when Obama does this, he somehow is wringing his hands with guilt or that everyone tells themselves that secretly Obama means well. Or that it's our job to denounce Mitt Romney because some how he would be even worse. And that's fatal for us as a country. 
"If you can't object to giving someone arbitrary power to kill, if you can't object to that because you can imagine someone else coming up will be even worse, then we've really tied both hands behind our back." 

You have choices and you make decisions.  And don't whine about how Congress won't stand up for this or that treasured policy/belief you hold dear if you're not willing to stand up against shredding the Constitution, or endless wars, or assassinating American citizens or any of the rest.  Don't whine that Congress vote to extend the PATRIOT Act if you're going to turn around and vote for the person (Barack) who said the extension was needed.  Congress will never vote their convictions if the electorate refuses to vote their own. Instead, you send a message that you will tolerate every sell out because you'd rather live in fear all your life.

Today Baghdad was again slammed by a bombing.  And though it happened this morning in Baghdad (shortly before noon, their time) and though people in America woke up to the already reported news, the US State Dept's Mark Toner made it through an afternoon press conference without ever conveying that the US government extends its sympathies to the survivors of the attack.  The White House also had nothing to say on the issue.  At the United Nations, spokesperson Eduardo del Buey (link is text and audio) noted the UN Secretary-General's Special Envoy Martin Kobler condemned the bombings, "He said that these atrocious crimes against the Iraqi people need to stop and the perpetrators should be brought to justice and he once more called for all Iraqi's to remain steadfast in the face of violence."  Again, not a word on the tragedy from the Barack Obama administration.

Kareem Raheem (Reuters) quotes police officer Ahmed Hassan stating, "It was a powerful explosion, dust and smoke covered the area.  At first, I couldn't see anything, but then I heard screaming women and children.  We rushed with other people to help . . . the wounded were scattered all around, and there were body parts on the main street."  



Mohammed Tawfeeq (CNN) reports the morning attack was a suicide bomber who attacked "the offices of Shiite religious affairs." Yang Lina (Xinhua) explains, "The Shiite endowment office is an independent body affiliated to the government and is responsible for running the Shiite mosques and their religious properties." Radio Netherlands Worldwide adds, "The attack comes amid a dispute between Iraq's Shiite and Sunni endowments, which manage the country's religious landmarks, over a shrine north of Baghdad, and a protracted political standoff that has raised sectarian tensions in a country racked by brutal communal bloodshed from 2006 to 2008." AGI quotes the deputy director of the endowmen, Sami al-Massudi, stating, "We are not accusing anyone but we are appealing to the Iraqi people and especially to the children of our religion to move swiftly to bury the discord."  AFP notes that the Sunni Endowment headquarters were attacked shortly after by at least one bombing or mortar attack (the Ministry of the Interior states it was a roadside bombing) and the Sunnin Endowment spokesperson, Faris al-Mahdawi, is quoted stating, "We reject and condemn this criminal, cowardly, fanatical attack.  These attacks aim to create divisions between the Iraqi people. There are dirty hands that are playing sectarianism, and trying to bring the country back to the years of violence."  



 An unnamed hospital source told Alsumaria early on that 16 corpses were received and 83 injured. The death toll continued to increase throughout the day.  By the end of the day, Reuters noted 26 deaths and one-hundred-and-ninety people injured.   ITV carries two photos by Hadi Mizban (AP) showing the destruction from the bomb.  



AP reports that the injured include Baghdad Health Department's Adel Ahmed who was at work when the nearby bombing attack took palce and that the ceiling in the Health Department came loose and hit him in the head.  AP offers an slide show presenation on violence since 2003 here AFP offers a timeline of some of the major violence in the last months.


AFP quotes a restraunt owner whose first name is Mohammed declaring that, "Maliki and Allawi are fighting over the government, and we are the victims." Yes, the political crisis continues.  The Journal of Turkish Weekly quotes Iraqi Vice President Tareq al-Hashemi stating that the reforms have not come to Iraq, "From my point of view, there are two phases for a country's transformation.  The first one is to erase the dictatorial regime, and the second one is to make reforms.  But Iraq now seems to be a police state."


Tareq al-Hashemi was speaking at a conference in Turkey.  He is being tried in absentia in Baghdad.  Nouri al-Maliki issued an arrest warrante in December, charging al-Hashemi with terrorism.  al-Hashemi has stated he cannot receive a fair trial in Baghdad.  His fears were demonstrated to be accurate in February when the judges held a press conference -- months before the trial ever started -- to declare al-Hashemi was guilty.  One of the judges even declared that Tareq al-Hashemi had tried to kill him.  And that accusation didn't bother anyone.  That a judge who believed (or said he did) that al-Hashemi tried to have him killed was sitting in on the case was seen  as 'fair.'  Only in Nouri's Iraq.


Tareq al-Hashemi is a member of Iraqiya.  Iraqiya came in first in the March 2010 parliamentary elections.  Nouri's State of Law came in second.  Nouri began targeting Iraqiya (yet again) in the fall of 2011.  In December, he began targeting Iraqiya members al-Hashemi and Saleh al-Mutlaq.  al-Multaq is a Deputy Prime Minister.  For telling CNN that Nouri was becoming a dictator, Nouri began months of trying to have al-Mutlaq ousted from his position.  That move proved fuitlie.  But the crisis continues. This weekend Mohamad Ali Harissi (AFP) offered:

"The political crisis has reached its highest level since its beginning, but it is still running within the framework of the democratic game,"  Iraqi political analyst Ihsan al-Shammari said.
"The country is paralyzed on all levels; there is a clear political paralysis paralleled by governmental negligence and a failure of the legislative authority, while the people are disappointed and afraid of the security consequences," Shammari said.


Also noted was that Saleh al-Mutlaq was again likening Nouri to a dictator.


Al Rafidayn notes an unnamed UN source explains that the crisis is preventing the appointment of the Independent High Electoral Commission.  Back in April, one day the  UN Secretary-General's Special Envoy Martin Kobler was praising the Independent High Electoral Commission to the United Nations Security Council and discussing how important it was to the upcoming provincial elections next year and just days later Nouri was having Farah al-Haidari and Karim al-Tamimi arrested.   Karim al-Tamimi serves on the commission while Faraj al-Haidari is the head of the commission.  

How outrageous were the arrests?   That month Al Mada reported that Moqtada al-Sadr declared that the arrests were indications that Nouri al-Maliki might be attempting to delay the elections or call them off all together. He makes it clear that the the arrest needs to be based on eveidence and not on some whim of Nouri's and that it shouldn't be done because Nouri desires to "postpone or call off the election."  The provincial elections are not in the distant way off future.  They're supposed to take place next year.  At the start of next year.  Which means that the Commission has a great deal of work to do that it needs to be doing right now.  So possibly Moqtada was correct in April that this was an effort by Nouri to delay the elections.

The continued political crisis is impacting Iraqi life on all levels.  For example, that oil law that Nouri agreed to pass back in 2007?  (It was a White House benchmark -- remember those? -- and Nouri agreed to them.)  Never passed.  Good in that it helped prevent the theft of Iraqi oil, bad in that everything's still up in the air because no alternative ever got passed.  Iraq's economy is completely dependent upon oil at this point. Last January, Ahmed Rasheed (Reuters) reported, "The political crisis engulfing Iraq's power-sharing government threatens to further delay a landmark draft of its long-delayed oil law -- five years after the first version was submitted to parliament. [. . .]  The first hydrocarbon draft law was agreed by Iraq's diverse politcal blocs in 2007, but its approval has been held back by infighting among Sunni, Shi'ite and Kurdish political groups, worrying investors seeking more guarantees for the industry."  A month later, Kadhim Ajrash and Nayla Razzouk (Bloomberg News) were reporting:

Iraq's proposed energy law, intended to spur foreign investment in the world's fifth-largest holder of oil deposits, will be delayed for the rest of this year due to political divisions, the prime minister's top adviser said.
The draft law, held up since 2005, may resolve a dispute about oil revenue and sovereignty between the central government and the country's semi-autonomous Kurds that has blocked an agreement with Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM), Thamir Ghadhban said in an interview in Baghdad. Kurdish authorities in northern Iraq angered the government by signing a separate contract with Exxon, which operates one of the nation's largest oil fields.

Nouri's failure -- in two terms now -- to get oil legislation passed is telling of what extreme failure he is.  Jen Alic (OilPrice.com) sums up last week's big news on Iraqi oil and gas, "Iraq's latest energy auction was a flop, and while major international companies balked at everything from unattractive contract terms to security concerns, the failure of the auction highlights how the struggle for power between north and south is shaping the future of energy in the region and beyond. " Prashant Rao (AFP) adds:

Iraq's oil ministry painted the bid round as a success, with one official arguing that a success rate of 25 percent was a "good result."
Analysts, however, disagreed.
"It was not a success," said Ruba Husari, editor of www.iraqoilforum.com. "It was not a success because the main aim of Bid Round Four was to find gas and develop it."




On the topic of oil, Press TV reports: 
 


Elaborating on his tour of Iraq upon his return to Tehran Sunday afternoon, Rostam Qasemi described his separate talks with top Iraqi officials, including Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, Oil Minister Abdulkareem Liaybi and Vice President Hossain al-Shahrestani, as satisfactory and said discussions went well and produced agreements on expanding oil and gas trade and collaborations, Shana reported on Monday. 


A little better than that, according to Bloomberg News, "Iraq and Iran said they will take a common position on Opec's production policy when the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries meets this month."  With legal charges of price fixing have been filed in DC last month by the right-wing Freedom Watch, I'm not really sure it's a good time for OPEC members to be bragging about their work to determine things outside of meetings.


Sunday Bloomberg reported Iraq got Iran's support in their campaign to grab the OPEC secretary-general position.   And it apparently only cost Iraq $117 million in US dollars -- that's the amount Nayla Razzouk (Bloomberg News) reports Nouri's agreed to pay Iran "to reconstruct the sewage system in the northern Iraqi city of Kirkuk."  Qassim Abdul-Zahra and Brian Murphy (AP) report, "Shiite powerhouse Iran appears desperate to save the patchwork administration it helped create in late 2010 to pull Iraq out of its last major political crisis. Tehran is calling in favors among its allied factions in Iraq, and exerting its significant religious and commercial influence to try to block al-Maliki's opponents from getting a no-confidence motion."  

AFP notes that Moqtada issued a statement yesterday about Nouri, "We say, complete your (good work) and announce your resignation, for the sake of the people . . . and for the sake of partners."


How did it get to this?  A possible no-confidence vote in Nouri?   Nouri's political slate was State of Law.  It came in second in the March 2010 elections.  Iraqiya, led by Ayad Allawi, came in first.  Eight months of gridlock followed those elections (Political Stalemate I) as a result of Nouri refusing to honor the Constitution and his belief that -- with the backing of Iran and the White House -- he could bulldoze his way into a second term. The Erbil Agreement allowed Political Stalemate I to end.  Nouri's refusal to honor the agreement created the ongoing Political Stalemate II.  Marina Ottaway and Danial Kaysi's [PDF format warning] "The State Of Iraq"  (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace) notes the events since mid-December as well as what kicked off Political Stalemate II:


Within days of the official ceremonies marking the end of the U.S. mission in Iraq, Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki moved to indict Vice President Tariq al-Hashemi on terrorism charges and sought to remove Deputy Prime Minister Saleh al-Mutlaq from his position, triggering a major political crisis that fully revealed Iraq as an unstable, undemocractic country governed by raw competition for power and barely affected by institutional arrangements.  Large-scale violence immediately flared up again, with a series of terrorist attacks against mostly Shi'i targets reminiscent of the worst days of 2006.
But there is more to the crisis than an escalation of violence.  The tenuous political agreement among parties and factions reached at the end of 2010 has collapsed.  The government of national unity has stopped functioning, and provinces that want to become regions with autonomous power comparable to Kurdistan's are putting increasing pressure on the central government.  Unless a new political agreement is reached soon, Iraq may plunge into civil war or split apart.




The Erbil Agreement allowed Nouri to have a second term as prime minister.  That was a concession other political blocs made.  In exchange, Nouri made concessions as well.  These were written up and signed off on.  But once Nouri got his second term, he refused to honor the Erbil Agreement.  Since the summer of 2011, the Kurds have been calling for a return to the Erbil Agreement.  Iraqiya and Moqtada al-Sadr joined that call.         As April drew to a close, there was a big meet-up in Erbil with various political blocs participating.  Nouri al-Maliki was not invited.  Among those attending were KRG President Massoud Barzani, Ayad Allawi, Moqtada al-Sadr, Iraqi President Jalal Talabani and Speaker of Parliament Osama al-Nujaifi.  Since December 21st, Talabani and al-Nujaifi have been calling for a national convention to resolve the political crisis.



Nouri spent the first two months dismissing the need for one, arguing that it shouldn't include everyone, arguing about what it was called, saying it should just be the three presidencies -- that would Jalal Talabani, Nouri al-Maliki and Osama al-Nujaifi -- and offering many more road blocs.  As March began, Nouri's new excuse was that it had to wait until after the Arab League Summit (March 29th).  The weekend before the summit, Talabani forced the issue by announcing that the convention would be held April 5th.  Nouri quickly began echoing that publicly.  However, April 4th it was announced the conference was off.  Nouri's State of Law took to the press to note how glad they were about that.  Shakir Noori (Gulf News) offers:


A member of the Iraqi List, MP Ahmad Al Masary, said: "If things get to the process of withdrawal of confidence from Al Maliki, the required number of no-confidence votes are available, even some members of the ruling National Alliance agree with this decision." Thus, the National Alliance has two options: either to respond positively and allow the government to proceed in executing this agreement or allow the coalition to nominate a substitute for Al Maliki and form a new government headed by the alternative candidate.


But Nouri has had and still has another option: implement the Erbil Agreement.