Wednesday, October 09, 2013

Whatever Happened To Baby Jane?

Who was "The Best Actress of the 20th Century"?  In 2009, we argued it was two-time Academy Award winner Bette Davis.  And tonight, a theme post: Favorite Bette Davis film.

My pick?

"Whatever Happenes To Baby Jane?"  This 1962 thriller/horror film stars Bette Davis and Joan Crawford.  Bette had co-starred with strong actresses before (Miriam Hopkins, for instance). But Joan was as much a star as Bette and the fireworks (onscreen and off) made for a memorable film.



The two play sisters.  Bette was a child star -- Baby Jane.  Dolls were sold of her.  She sang and danced.  And young Joan steamed.  Then came a reversal of sorts when Joan, as a young adult, became a film star. 

There was a horrible car accident -- that wasn't an accident -- which crippled Blanche.  She's now at Jane's mercy. 

Elvira cleans the house and is Blanche's confidante.  She's played by the always amazing Maidie Norman.

Jane gets rid of her and begins tormenting Blanche who's trapped on the second floor in her wheelchair.  This includes serving her lunch -- serving Blanche her dead parakeet for lunch.  Blanche lifts the lid off the plate and screams.  Outside the room, Jane chuckles.

It's really an amazing film with a twist at the end and wonderful cinematography throughout.  It provided Bette Davis with her last Oscar nominated role.  She probably should have won.  But then, she should have won most times she was nominated.

She was the best actress of the last century and "Whatever Happened To Baby Jane?" remains my favorite picture she did.


(I sound like my Grandma!  "Favorite picture."  I better be sure to catch "my stories" tomorrow!  That's why my Grandma calls her soaps.)


"Iraq snapshot" (The Common Ills):

Wednesday, October 9, 2013. Chaos and violence continue,  Prashant Rao missed Tim Arango's report on Nouri arming and paying Shi'ite militias to hunt Sunnis,  more corpses on the streets of Iraq, the Arab League condemns the violence, State Dept spokesperson Marie Harf 'rewrites' the State Dept's findings on 2006 violence, the fear mongering of the White House is noted in a House Veterans Affairs Committee hearing, given the chance to fight for veterans VA Secretary Eric Shinseki chooses not to,  and more.


"I really called the hearing so that we could get the best possible information out to the veteran community,"  Committee Chair Jeff Miller declared at the start of today's House Veterans Affairs Committee hearing.  Appearing before the Committee was Secretary of Veterans Affairs Eric Shinseki.  Along with the Committee members, US House Rep Jerry McNerney (a former VA Committee member) questioned Shinseki.



Committee Chair Jeff Miller:   Veterans want to know whether they're disability checks and [G]I Bill benefits will be paid in November and there after.  They want to know if their disability claims will be decided or further delayed.  Families want to know if their loved ones will receive a timely burial at VA national cemeteries.  And many of VA employees themselves want to know whether they'll be serving veterans on the job or whether they will be furloughed.  I understand that answers to some of these questions are entirely dependent upon how long this shutdown lasts.  And although I want to be sure that most of us want this shutdown over clearly, it's our responsibility that the public especially veterans understand what the current state of play is.  First of all, Mr. Secretary, I want to say that in the last couple of weeks getting good information about your contingency plans and the effect of a lapse in appropriations and its effects on veterans has been very difficult for us to get the information out of your office.  For example, the original field guide that VA put out regarding the shut down impact at first spoke of no effect -- no effect -- on payment to veterans or any of their benefits.  But in a later version, VA stated that a prolonged shutdown would effect both but didn't provide any details of how it would be impacted.  Second, the Veterans Health Administration is not shut down at all because it has received a full year's appropriation for 2014 back in March.  So hospitals, clinics and Vet Centers should all be open for business.  Yet the President made a statement the day before the shutdown saying that veterans will find their support centers unstaffed and implied that counseling services for veterans with PTS would be effected.  Third, this Committee has been consistently told by VBA's Overtime Mandatory Effort towards the backlog would actually end on September 30th.  Yet, days into the shutdown, we're now informed that a shutdown prevented VBA's planned continued payment of overtime. Fourth, although a shutdown should have a relatively uniform effect across all regional offices, as suggested by your own field guide, my staff met with several representatives from VSOs last week who relayed that their members are hearing mixed messages out of different regional offices.

There's a lot to unpack in that series of statements.  First of all, it doesn't help anyone when the President of the United States lies to the American people in order to scare them.  The VBA has the money to run the hospitals and centers and has since March -- the money for Fiscal Year 2014.

September 30th, in the James Brady press room, President Barack Obama declared:


Vital services that seniors and veterans, women and children, businesses and our economy depend on would be hamstrung.  Business owners would see delays in raising capital, seeking infrastructure permits, or rebuilding after Hurricane Sandy.  Veterans who’ve sacrificed for their country will find their support centers unstaffed.

Barack lied.  Outlets carried his lies without a single question to them.  Even after the House Veterans Affairs Committee issued a fact sheet, Barack's lies have still not been called out by the press.  From the fact sheet:

As President Obama stated in his Sept. 30 government shutdown statement, will veterans find their support centers unstaffed in the event of a shutdown?

According to the Department of Veterans Affairs, VA’s Military Sexual Trauma counseling services, Readjustment Counseling Services and Veterans Crisis Line will not be affected by a shutdown. Additionally, the following VA support phone lines will remain open for business: VA National Call Center, Coaching into Care Call Center, Debt Management Center, Homeless Prevention Line, Mammography Helpline, National Caregiver Support Line, Women Veterans Call Center, Vet Center Combat Call Center, Children of Women Vietnam Veterans; Foreign Medical Program; Spina Bifida Health Care Program. Additionally, all VA medical facilities and clinics will remain fully operational in the event of a shutdown.

As President Obama stated in his Sept. 30 government shutdown statement, will a government shutdown keep veterans suffering from PTSD from getting counseling services?

According to the Department of Veterans Affairs, VA’s Military Sexual Trauma counseling services, Readjustment Counseling Services and Veterans Crisis Line will not be affected by a shutdown. All of those services are equipped to offer veterans suffering from PTSD with support. Additionally, all VA medical facilities and clinics will remain fully operational in the event of a shutdown and will be available for veterans with PTSD in need of counseling services.


Barack Obama lied to the American people (yet again) and the press ignores it (yet again).  It was fear mongering at its worst and, at least when they were out of power, Democrats in Congress objected to fear mongering, saw as the last resort of liars and manipulators.  But nine days ago, Barack did it and no elected Democrat has called him out.  Apparently, when you're out of power, it's very easy to have ethics -- or at least give lectures on ethics, but when you have power, you lose interest in ethics and ethical concerns.  Well that certainly explains the Democratic Party's war votes.

For more on what the shutdown will and won't mean to veterans, check this post by Tom Tarantion (Iraq and Afghanistan Veterans of America) which is updated regularly -- including updated today.


Let's move to another issue raised.  Here's Eric Shinseki:


We have about 13,000 regional -- uh, benefits employees who are doing what they always do and that's process claims as quickly and as accurately as they can.  With the end of mandatory overtime, we are doing that at 1400 claims each day less than we were doing, uh, before 30 September.


But what Miller said, and Shinseki never contradicted, was that it was always the understanding that overtime would be phased out at the end of September.  That was regardless of whether or not there was a shutdown.  The overtime program has been one scandal after another of stealing taxpayer money.  To quell Congressional outrage, the program had a quick end date. For example, Mary Shinn, Daniel Moore and Steven Rich (Center for Public Integrity) reported in August:


While veterans waited longer than ever in recent years for their wartime disability compensation, the Department of Veterans Affairs gave its workers millions of dollars in bonuses for “excellent” performances that effectively encouraged them to avoid claims that needed extra work to document veterans’ injuries, a News21 investigation has found.
In 2011, a year in which the claims backlog ballooned by 155 percent, more than two-thirds of claims processors shared $5.5 million in bonuses, according to salary data from the Office of Personnel Management.
The more complex claims were often set aside by workers so they could keep their jobs, meet performance standards, or, in some cases, collect extra pay, said VA claims processors and union representatives. Those claims now make up much of VA’s widely scrutinized disability claims backlog, defined by the agency as claims pending more than 125 days.


And let me point out again that there is no great reduction in backlog.  It's a con game.  In many states across the country there are rental storage facilities run by Public Storage.  In New York, there is Manhattan Mini Storage.   Pretend you have a huge collection of books.  You've been tasked with going through the collection, currently stored at Public Storage, and deciding which books to keep and which to get rid of.  Instead of doing that, making that determination, you decided to move them to Manhattan Mini Storage.  You can now claim that all the books in Public Storage are gone.  And, indeed, they are.  But you didn't do the job, you didn't make the determination.  You played kick-the-can -- a game Barack used to deride when he was a US senator but now embraces from the White House. The 'reduction' is by giving claims a temporary classification and sending them to another group to be evaluated.  In other words, a single-step evaluation is now a two-step process (three if you count the temporary status). 


"Since the shutdown began on One  October, the backlog has stalled. and in fact, has increased by about 2,000 claims,"  Shinseki insisted.  "The shutdown directly threatens VA's ability to eliminate the backlog.  We've lost ground we fought hard to take.  Roughly 4,000 veterans a day are not now receiving decisions on their disability compensation claims due to the end of overtime."  But overtime was ending September 30th regardless.  Shinseki is so dishonest. 

Equally true, in the entertainment industry, we often have strikes.  A writers strike, for example, means producers not with the Writers Guild end up doing writing (in addition to scabs and picket line crossers).  The VA has many employees on salary including Shinseki.  If producers can roll up their sleeves and write dialogue, I think in this situation, Eric can roll up his sleeves and do some backlog work to earn that huge salary.  In fact, it would be a good idea to ask everyone in administration with backlog cases.  They might better understand the hold ups and how to improve the process.

This is something that should have been implemented years ago.  There's a backlog.  Every worker at the VA in management should know how to rate a claim -- how else can they judge the progress.  And knowing how to rate a claim requires that management regularly do so.  With just each member of management and administration required to do one claim evaluation a day, they'd be getting more than 4,000 done before you included any work done by those hired to rate claims.

You'd also determine quickly whether or not the claims workers have been working slowly for 'job protection' as many have alleged (including some claims workers) over the last years.


Shinseki made a statement many outlets ran with -- after dressing it up to improve it.  Here's what he said, "If the shutdown does not end in the coming weeks, VA will not be able to ensure delivery of 1 November checks to more than 5.18 million beneficiaries." 

Leo Shane III of Stars and Stripes, your job  is to report not to 'improve.'  Before you whore again, here's a little tip, when the Secretary of a Department says 5.18 million beneficiaries won't receive checks, they got that number by lying or basic math.  If they got it via basic math, they know when the shutdown would have to end -- a date.  "The coming weeks"?  Oh, no.  That's not an answer.  But wasn't it cute of you, Leo, to cover for Shinseki.

Buried in his piece, Shane notes, "Shinseki could not give a precise date when VA appropriations accounts would run out. "  No, Shinseki would not give a precise date.  When you can give a figure of 5.18 million, if it's accurate (and it may be), it's accurate because you've done a mathematic model.  Equally true, the checks can all be printed on October 30th and November 1st and sent out as they normally would (according to two friends in VA administration).  So that's 21 days.  Saying the shutdown can go on for 21 days doesn't present fear or urgency that the White House wants and that's most likely why Shineski dummied up on a date.  (I'm also told there's the equivalent of a short term loan process that the VA could use to cover those November 1st checks even if the shutdown is still in effect.) 


Shane also 'missed' the importance of this.


Chair Jeff Miller:  So my question is in statements in years past House and Senate regardless of parties and the White House have always come together and tried to find a way to prioritize how much money would be spent, who would be at the top of the list, just as we started to shut the government down and run out of money.  And today we don't have that.  Even back in the shutdown of 1995, there was a prioritization and DoD and veterans were taken off the table which they're not right now.  So my question, Mr. Secretary, is don't you think VA benefits should get the same priority or prioritization today as it has in other shutdown situations?

Secretary Eric Shinseki: I missed the last piece of your question, Mr. Chairman.  In some --

Chair Jeff Miller:  Just basically, in years passed, we have in fact  prioritized spending needs -- DoD and VA has always been basically taken off the table.  And  my question is: What's different this time?  And don't you think veterans benefits, in fact, should be prioritized at a higher level than others in our government.

Eric Uh, Mr. Chairman, I would just, uh, tell you this Department has benefitted from, uh, leadership of the president and leadership and support in the Congress.  So if you look at what has transpired over the last four years to our budgets,  I think we can all be proud of what we have done to take care of veterans and I will always tell you that that's a top priority with me.  Uh, but I do understand that there is a budget request presented to the Congress, there is a process that you referred to that requires a passage of the budget within that the departments are then provided a guidance on what their budgets will be.  I'm not sure where the Congress is in that process but I would ask the Congress, uh, to provide us a budget so that not only this Department but our partners in government on whom we rely to do our mission, uh, well, uh, can get on with business.



See, Leo Shane III, that was your story: "VA Secretary not willing to fight for veterans benefits."  Homeless veterans is a topic the House and Senate Committee regularly address.  When Kat shares her thoughts on a hearing with that topic, she often notes that there are millions of homeless people in this country who are not veterans and it's a shame that Congress shows little to no concern for them.  Kat's correct, I don't disagree with her.  But I don't bring it up here because I expect, for example, Senator Patty Murray chairing a Senate Committee on Veterans Affairs to make homeless veterans her first priority among the homeless.  Again, I understand Kat's reaction, I support it, I agree with it.  This country needs to address the homeless crisis among the general population.  But, again, I expect a Senate Agricultural Committee to put farmers first and I expect that from the Ag Secretary as well.  Today, Shinseki was given the opportunity to put veterans first and refused to.  I think that's a story, I think it's probably the most story out of the hearing (and one that will only lead to louder cries that Shinseki needs to go).

There's  much more that I would like to cover and maybe we can tomorrow.  (Though we'll be at two hearings tomorrow that I'll want to include as well.)  For the record, Leo Shane III wasn't the worst reporter on the hearing.  But he was bad and we call that out here.

Let's move over to Iraq because we also need to call out Prashant Rao of AFP.



Renee Montagne (NPR's Morning Edition -- link is text and audio) spoke with AFP's Prashant Rao today.  It was, in part, to note that AFP keeps a tally of the dead and wounded in Iraq.  The tally's not perfect.  We've explained the problems with it.  But we've applauded it and did it months and months ago (the day Prashant announced it online).  AFP, repeating, deserves credit for keeping a count.  It should be noted that in past wars, it was a given that the press kept a total of the dead.  Good for AFP.
But that wasn't the problem with the interview.  Here's the disgraceful section.



MONTAGNE: You mentioned the politics behind this violence.


RAO: Mm-hmm.


MONTAGNE: Has there been any progress in getting Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki to stop the heavy-handed treatment that his Shiite government has doled out to the minority Sunnis?


RAO: There are some elements where treatment of Sunnis has been improving. The government seems to be more positive towards the use of the Sahwa, these were Sunni tribal militias that allied with the U.S. military against al-Qaida. And the government has always been fairly ambivalent towards them because - as you said - it's a Shia government and they're mistrustful of these Sunni groups. But, in recent months, there's been greater talk and there's been actual action in terms of reestablishing some of these Sahwa militias to man check points that carry out patrols in Sunni areas. But there's still a great deal of criticism as to how Sunnis are treated in Iraq - a lot of criticism of the sort of barring of Sunnis from political life. So it's not just the sort of army cracking down, which is another allegation that's made, that the army and the police unfairly come into Sunni houses and target them.


Note, I'm sort of using NPR's transcript above.  But I've also corrected it.  For example, Prashant Rao says "Shia government" not that Iraq has a "Syrian government" as the transcript currently reads.  We have community members who can't stream (due to operating systems or internet providers) and we have community members who have hearing difficulties.  So for anyone who uses the link and finds a difference between the above and NPR's transcript, I have fixed it above to match the actual audio. 


Renee asked an important question.  It's too bad Prashant was either uninformed or prepared to lie.

Sahwa?  Sahwa has not been embraced nor is does Nouri al-Maliki's "government seems to be more positive towards the use of Sahwa."  With one Iraqi outlet after another (and some Arab outlets) explaining that the Sahwa checkpoints going up are going up because of Sunnis and that Nouri's government -- which refused to pay them but did target them -- still won't pay them.

How is Prashant Rao unaware of that?

And what the hell is this talk of "greater talk" in "recent months"?  With the Sunni protesters?  No.  Whose the talk with, Rao?

And if you're not lying, if you're that ignorant, you should be heading AFP's bureau.

Sunnis are targeted and this isn't my call.  This is the most important report on Iraq that's been done in 2013.  How is Rao unaware of it?

We've covered it repeatedly here.  In 2012, the most important Iraq news came from a Tim Arango report.  In 2013, the same is true.


September 28th in print (27th online),  Tim Arango (New York Times) broke the story that Nouri al-Maliki (prime minister and chief thug of Iraq) is supporting Shi'ite militias  that are killing Sunnis.   Arango noted:



The group, which is backed by Iran and split off from the Sadrist movement several years ago and was responsible for many deadly attacks on the American military when it was here, has seen its political wing welcomed into the government by Mr. Maliki. And as the security forces have proved ineffective in stemming attacks by Sunni insurgent groups, the group’s armed unit, according to militiamen, is increasingly working in secret with the government.
“We don’t do anything until the government asks us,” said one of the group’s leaders, who gave his name as Abu Abdellah. “We have a direct connection with the leaders of the security forces.”
In supporting Asaib al-Haq, Mr. Maliki has apparently made the risky calculation that by backing some Shiite militias, even in secret, he can maintain control over the country’s restive Shiite population and, ultimately, retain power after the next national elections, which are scheduled for next year. Militiamen and residents of Shiite areas say members of Asaib al-Haq are given government badges and weapons and allowed freedom of movement by the security forces.


How do you miss that?  Prashant Rao is the Baghdad Bureau chief for AFP.  That job title kind of requires he be aware of every major report on Iraq.  The New York Times is not an obscure publication.  Tim Arango is not an unknown name.  This was a major report from an internationally influential outlet.  And Prashant just happened to miss it?

Yeah, he was in Scotland the day the report went online -- but I do believe Scotland called the internet. He certainly used some device to Tweet repeatedly while he was in Scotland.  Once he was done attending a wedding, he should have been going over any major western reports from Iraq while he was in Scotland.  It wouldn't have taken that long.  It's CNN, AP, Reuters, AFP, EFE and that's pretty much it.  Once a week or so, there's an article in the New York Times.


If he was ignorant, Prashant wasn't the only one in that boat.  One of the few to Tweet about Arango's article was the New York Times Sebnem Arsu who isn't very smart:

  • Rise in Deadly Attacks on Iraq's Shiites, “We have had enough killing. Now it's our turn to take action.”




  • No, that really wasn't the takeaway.  Arsu can read headlines and can read opening paragraphs but to understand what's important?  Oh, hell no. 

    What Nouri's doing?  The Leahy Amendment demands that US funding cease immediately to Nouri's government.  You cannot hire people to kill the citizens of the country and get US aid.  Now Congress knows little of Arango's report and there's little chance that they'll take a stand -- everyone knows Nouri is Sammy Power's boy -- but the news, the actual news of the story, is that Nouri's arming and funding Shi'ite militias to attack Sunnis.

    Besides, the ever weak-ass State Dept just wants taxpayer monies for Iraq while it works on things like war on Syria.  The State Dept has grown tired of diplomacy and its job so it's looking for new adventures and to transition into an adjunct of the DoD. 

    Al Quds' Said Arikat brought Iraq up in today's State Dept press briefing by spokesperson Marie Harf.



    Said Arikat: Iraq?


    Marie Harf: Uh-huh.


    Said Arikat: The UN reports that 6,000 Iraqis have died since the beginning of the year, there has been a tremendous spike in sectarian violence, incursions by al-Qaida, almost collapse of the central government. Yet Iraq really seems to be not on your radar screen. Can you explain to us why this lack of attention to what’s going on in Iraq on your part?


    Marie Harf: Well, Said, there are, like, three or four things that you just said that I would take issue with factually, so let me walk through some of them.  The first is that Iraq very much remains on our radar screen. It’s something we’re very engaged in, concerned about, we’ve talked about repeatedly in this briefing room. The second is that I would take issue with your notion of how you characterize the violence. We’ve said repeatedly that this uptick in violence we’ve seen is terrorist violence. It’s not the kind of sectarian violence we saw during the most violent years of the Iraq war. So it really is violence perpetrated by extremists, and much of it is a outflow of the situation in Syria.  And the third, I think, point I would make about what you just said is that we have actually commended, when Iraqi leaders have come together, to work together to deprive violent extremists of this issue – of their – of any opportunities to use words or actions to incite tension. So we’ve noted, actually, some positive steps of the different leaders coming together to work on this issue, so I – that’s my third point of contention I would take with what you just said. But we remain deeply concerned about it, incredibly concerned about it, and we continue to call on Iraq’s leaders to work together to thwart it, and also we will continue working with them to do so.


    Said Arikat:  Is the United States Government taking any special measures to sort of help Iraq in this really difficult time, especially in the fight against terrorism – terrorists?



    Marie Harf: Mm-hmm. Well, we have an ongoing dialogue with them on the fight against terrorism. We’ve said we will continue to support them in the best way that we think is possible. And certainly that will continue, that cooperation will continue.


    Said Arikat: Why won’t the United States support Iraq with – let’s say, with drone strikes like it was doing in Yemen and other places, to strike against places of – locations of terrorists and terrorist camps?


    Marie Harf: Well, as we’ve said, we consider the Government of Iraq an essential partner in this fight. We’ll continue talking with them on this issue. As you know, under the Strategic Framework Agreement, we have an ongoing dialogue on counterterrorism cooperation, but beyond that, I’m just not going to go any further about what that cooperation looks like.


    Said Arikat: Okay. But the truth of the matter is that Iraq has no air asset with which to defend itself, so it must rely on the U.S. for, let’s say, any kind of aerial assistance in the fight against terror. Are you – or in the near future, are you planning to aid Iraq in this realm?


    Marie Harf: We’re going to keep talking to them about the best way we can aid them in the fight against terrorists, and beyond that, I don’t have anything further.


    Excuse me?

    Marie Harf:  The first is that Iraq very much remains on our radar screen. It’s something we’re very engaged in, concerned about, we’ve talked about repeatedly in this briefing room.


    Was that an attempt at standup?


    More importantly, what the hell was this?


    Marie Harf:  The second is that I would take issue with your notion of how you characterize the violence. We’ve said repeatedly that this uptick in violence we’ve seen is terrorist violence. It’s not the kind of sectarian violence we saw during the most violent years of the Iraq war. So it really is violence perpetrated by extremists, and much of it is a outflow of the situation in Syria.


    I'm sorry, I didn't know the history could be rewritten at the podium. 

    2006?  What did the State Dept say about 2006 violence?  I'm not referring to the spokesperson, I'm referring the Dept's official report to Congress.  From the report, here's the section on Iraq:


    Iraq
    Iraq remained at the center of the War on Terror with the Iraqi Government and the Coalition battling al-Qaida in Iraq (AQI) and affiliated terrorist organizations, insurgent groups fighting against Coalition Forces (CF), militias and death squads increasingly engaged in sectarian violence, and criminal organizations taking advantage of Iraq's deteriorating security situation. Terrorist organizations and insurgent groups continued to attack CF primarily using Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) and Vehicle-Borne Improvised Explosive Devices (VBIEDs). The Iraqi government universally condemned terrorist groups and supported CF against AQI and its affiliates.

    The June 7 death of AQI's leader, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, damaged the group's leadership but did not diminish attacks against Coalition Forces and Iraqis nor did it halt overall increasing attack trends by the group. AQI's new leader is Abu Ayyub al-Masri, also known as Abu Hamza al-Muhajir. January press reports indicated that AQI teamed with several smaller Sunni Islamist groups devoted to continuing the insurgency calling themselves the Mujahideen Shura Council. By the end of the year, this group had renamed itself the Islamic State of Iraq.
    AQ and affiliated groups continued attacks on Iraq's infrastructure and claimed responsibility for kidnappings and attacks against Coalition Forces.

    The Government of Iraq sponsored reconciliation programs to reduce the sources of violence. The government organized conferences involving tribal and religious leaders, politicians, and civil society organizations to counter support for terrorist organizations and to promote dialogue between Iraq's ethnic and religious groups in an effort to decrease violence. Tribal leaders in Ramadi, a volatile city in Anbar province, banded together late in the year and pledged to fight against AQ instead of the coalition. While the tribal leaders' full effectiveness remained uncertain, this represented an important step.
    Iraq's sectarian divide increased dramatically following the February 22 bombing of the al-Askariyah Mosque, one of the holiest sites to Shia Muslims, located in Salah ad Din province. While violence against both CF and Iraqis had increased prior to the bombing, this event exacerbated sectarian tensions and led to increased violence in Iraq's ethnically-mixed areas, especially Baghdad. Sectarian attacks, including car bombs, suicide vests, sniper fire, targeted assassinations, and death squad murders, occurred on a close-to-daily basis with Iraqi civilians suffering the majority of causalities. Iraq's sectarian violence furthered the terrorists' goals by creating instability and weakening the government.
    Neighboring countries, specifically Iran, continued to interfere in Iraq's internal affairs by allowing, condoning, or in some cases, actively smuggling weapons, people, materials, and money to terrorist, insurgent, and militia groups inside Iraq. Iranian agents and sympathizers utilized an 800-mile long, porous border with limited security to transport goods, which increasingly included Iranian-made weapons such as IEDs or their components, which proved effective in attacks against Coalition Forces.
    In recent statements, Iraqi government leaders, including the Prime Minister, the President and the Foreign Minister, have called on neighboring countries to stop interfering in Iraq's internal affairs and to stop supporting elements actively fighting against Iraq's elected government. Syria's Foreign Minister traveled to Baghdad and agreed to cooperate more closely on border security in an effort to reduce the number of foreign fighters entering Iraq. Senior Iraqi officials, including Iraqi President Talabani, traveled to Iran throughout the year encouraging the Iranian government to support Iraq's political process and to stop material support of terrorist groups and militias.
    To demonstrate that the Iraqi government does not wish to allow Iraq to become a safe haven for terrorist organizations, Prime Minister al-Maliki appointed the Minister of State for National Security, Shirwan al-Waeli, as the Iraq coordinator for issues involving the Kurdistan Workers Party (Kongra-Gel/PKK), a designated Foreign Terrorist Organization. Tension between Turkey and the Iraqi government increased as Turkish leaders expressed increasing frustration at what they viewed as Iraq's inaction against the PKK.
    Although Iraq is a proven ally in the War on Terror, Iraq's developing security and armed forces will require further training and resources before they can effectively address the terrorist groups already operating within their borders. Iraq's intelligence services continued to improve in both competency and confidence, but they also will require additional support before they will be able to adequately identify and respond to internal and external terrorist threats. The international community's support for investment and reconstruction are critical components needed to ensure that the Government of Iraq's plans to reduce violence, improve services, and increase economic opportunities are successful.


    Now I don't see rebels as "terrorists."  But if the State Dept has changed its position and it no longer sees rebels as terrorists, it needs to come forward with a public announcement.  And clearly, ethnic cleansing and State Dept defined "terrorism" both took place in 2006 (and in 2007 but we don't have the room to quote the Dept's report on 2007's violence).


    Marie Harf needs to be asked if the State Dept is today walking away from its 2006 report -- which was the work of career employees, not political appointees?

    She was also asked about Nouri's visit this month?  He was supposed to visit last month.  A disagreement made the visit iffy.  Today, Harf declared of the reported visit this month, "I saw those reports. We don’t have anything to announce at this point about a visit by Prime Minister Maliki. When we do, I’ll let you guys know."


    I have no idea why she made such an idiotic comment.  This has been widely reported in the Iraqi press.  'Doesn't make it so!'  Possibly.  But what they're reporting on is the official statement issued by Nouri al-Maliki's office.  For example, here's Aswat al-Iraq reporting on the news Sunday:


    It was officially announced today that Premier Nouri al-Maliki will visit Washington, on 28 October, to discuss the security situation in Iraq, the Syrian crisis and the issues related to the Strategic Framework agreement.
    Media advisor Ali al-Mussawi stated that Maliki will head a high ranking delegation.
    Iraqi initiative to solve the Syrian question shall among the talks.
    The initiative called for peaceful solution and immediate ceasefire.
    He denied the news that US President Barack Obama refuse to meet Maliki, stressing that the visit shall be official.



    Again, Nouri's office has announced the visit.  Did so on Sunday.  I have no idea why Marie Harf is denying it and claiming she has no information on it.  Clearly, if Nouri's office made a false announcement on Sunday, by Wednesday, the US government would know so and have an answer or response.

    The Arab League has issued a statement -- on violence in Iraq and Egypt.  Middle East Monitor reports:


    Political Undersecretary General of the Arab League Fadel Jawad said on Monday that: "The Arab League denounces the violence, terrorism and killing of innocents, whatever the context is."
    Jawad noted that this issue does not affect only those states, but also the safety and interests of their citizens, including their economic situations.



    Violence continued in Iraq.  National Iraqi News Agency reports 1 coprse (police officer) discovered in Kut (death by shooting),  1 corpse was discovered in Ramadi (also dead from gun shots), and 1 corpse was discovered in Falluja (also gun shot wounds).  Again, this isn't a one-time thing.  Corpses have returned to the streets of Iraq and they were one of the hallmarks of the 2007 - 2008 "civil war" (ethnic cleansing).  The non-Iraqi press is ignoring the corpses and refusing to explore what it means when dead bodies are once again being dumped regularly in the streets of Iraq.


    In other violence,  AFP reports a roadside bombing ("south of Baghdad") left 8 people dead and seven more injured -- they were all on one truck.  NINA also reports "former Police Colonel Yaseen al-Shijairi" as he left his Falluja home, an armed attack in Baiji left 4 police members dead (two more injured and four civilians injured), mass arrests in Babil Province by the military resulted in 15 deaths (and 35 more people injured), a vegetable market shooting in Kirkuk left two employees of the North Gas Company wounded,  1 man was shot dead in his Baghdad car repair shop, a Kut car bombing claimed 5 lives and left ten people injured, an armed attack in Tikrit left three federal police members injured, the homes of ten security members were blown up in Kirkuk (no one was reported dead or injured) and  a Jahash car bombing targeted Speaker of Parliament Osama al-Nujaifi's convoy in Nineveh Province and left nine of his bodyguards injured.


    Yesterday,, Saad Zaghloul was shot dead outside his Mosul home.  He was the spokesperson for the governor of Nineveh Province.  Nineveh Governor Atheel al-Nujaifi is also the brother of Osama al-Nujaifi.  They are Sunnis and members of Iraqiya.     All Iraq News reported yesterday that Iraqiya MP Mohammed Eqbal called for the culprit or culprits to be arrested "and present[ed] . . . to judiciary.  The indulging [of] this issue by the security forces allows the criminal to commit more crimes against the Iraqis."  MP Eqbal also expressed, "His sorrow for the continuity of the assassination attempts to the journalists and activists in Nineveh."


    Through yesterday, the 8th day of the month, Iraq Body Count counts 303 violent deaths in Iraq so far this month.




    Ending with the topic of Syria.  BRussells Tribunal remains one of the most important sites on the web.  Today, they share David Edwards' Media Lens report which opens:


    A UN report this month found that, 'Torture and brutality are rife in Libyan prisons two years after the overthrow of leader Muammar Gaddafi.' Around 8,000 prisoners are currently being held without trial in government jails on suspicion of having fought for Gaddafi.

    But then, in the aftermath of Nato's 'humanitarian intervention', torture, bombings and assassinations are now par for the course in Libya, as described here by the excellent Interventions Watch.

    In similar vein, late last month, thirteen bombs were detonated on a single day in Baghdad killing at least 47 people. More than 5,000 people have been killed so far this year, according to the UN.

    Despite all of this - after years of unmissable, terrible carnage in Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya - the Pew Research Journalism Project
    finds that 'the No. 1 message' on CNN, MSNBC and Fox News, and Al Jazeera, was 'that the U.S. should get involved in the conflict' in Syria.

    It seems that no level of suffering and chaos are sufficient to impede the structural 'mainstream' inclination to support state violence.

    No surprise, then, that much of UK journalism had decided that the current Official Enemy was responsible for the August 21 attacks in Damascus long before the UN published the evidence in its report on 'the alleged use of chemical weapons in the Ghouta area' on September 16.

    Just one day after the attacks, a Guardian leader claimed there was not 'much doubt' who was to blame, as it simultaneously assailed its readers with commentary on the West's 'responsibility to protect'. An Independent front page headline one week later read like a sigh of relief: 'Syria: air attacks loom as West finally acts' (Independent, August 26, 2013).

    This was a close copy of the media response to the May 2012 massacre in Houla, which was also instantly and personally blamed on Syrian president Assad.

    The rapid media conclusion on Ghouta was particularly striking because the issues are complex – literally, rocket science - and evidence has again been gathered under live fire in the middle of a notoriously ferocious civil, proxy and propaganda war. Earlier claims relating to use of chemical weapons had been adjudged 'a load of old cobblers' by veteran journalist Robert Fisk. It was also clear that instantly declaring Assad's guilt a 'slam-dunk' fed directly into a rapidly escalating US-UK propaganda blitz intended to justify a massive, illegal attack on Syria without UN approval.






















    Tuesday, October 08, 2013

    The big F-U

    "F*ckYo: Totalitarian Obama And The Most Hated Law Since Prohibition" (Hillary Is 44):
    Update II: It really was Unbelievable: Obama gets no questions at presser on ObamaCare rollout or shutdown theater. That’s because Big Media continues to try to rescue ObamaCare, the most hated law since Prohibition.
    Imagine if someone in the White House press room asked Obama why his health insurance websites have a phone number which spells out “Fuc*Yo”. As a follow-up imaginary press person could have asked Obama who ordered that “F*ckYo” phone number, when that person will fired, and at what time tomorrow that phone number would be changed? Instead, Obama had his pillows fluffed as in the 2008 campaign.
    It’s a miracle that Speaker Boehner and the House Republican conference have held so firm in the face of so much Big Media Obama protection. They deserve a salute for finally fighting.


    Here's the Obama groupie Snopes.com trying to rescue Barry yet again:

    Although 800-318-2596 is the correct phone number for the Health Insurance Marketplace customer service line, and turning its digits into letters as they are found on telephone keypads does produce the phrase 800-FUCKYO (among many other possibilities), that transformation only works because of the quirk that the digit '1' is not represented by a letter on standard U.S. telephone keypads. customer service line, and turning its digits into letters as they are found on Tuesday, October 8, 2013.  Chaos and violence continue, the non-Iraqi press (again) drops the ball, the spokesperson for the Governor of Nineveh is assassinated, corpses continue to surface on Iraqi streets, Nouri's lie-filled and idiotic interview gets (the wrong kind of) attention, the scramble remains in the KRG for who will lead the fallen PUK, Arabic social media questions a terrorism organization's claim, and more.


    Catch that 'logic' -- number 1 doesn't have a letter so it can't spell FUCKYO?  Number 1 has never had a letter..  Deal with it, idiots.

    ObamaCare is the big F-U and anyone with a brain knows that.

    "Iraq snapshot" (The Common Ills):

    Tuesday, October 8, 2013.  Chaos and violence continue, the non-Iraqi press (again) drops the ball, the spokesperson for the Governor of Nineveh is assassinated, corpses continue to surface on Iraqi streets, Nouri's lie-filled and idiotic interview gets (the wrong kind of) attention, the scramble remains in the KRG for who will lead the fallen PUK, Arabic social media questions a terrorism organization's claim, and more.



    Corpses discarded in the streets were common place in the 2006 - 2007 ethnic cleansing which took place in Iraq. With no notice yet from the foreign media (foreign media means non-Iraqi media), the corpses have returned.  It's previously been a day here, two days later, etc.  It's now on the fourth day in a row.  It's a pattern.  It's a shame investigators are taught to look for patterns but journalists aren't.



    CNN's Mohammed Tawfeeq Tweeted Sunday:

     






    And the 'surge' continues today.   National Iraqi News Agency reports 1 corpse (male, approximately 30-years-old) was discovered near Kirkuk ("on a roadside near Bibis district) and he'd been strangled to death,  1 headless male corpse was discovered on the streets of Falluja today,  1 barber was shot dead in Baiji at his barbershop,  a Falluja armed attack left 1 bystander dead,  a Heet bombing left two people injured,  a Falluja grenade attack left one person injured,  Saad Zaghloul was assassinated in his Mosul home (he had been the spokesperson for Nineveh Governor Atheel al-Nujaifi), an armed clash in Jurf al-Sakhar left 4 members of the Iraqi police and 6 rebels dead, a southern Baghdad car bombing left four people injured, a Mosul bombing claimed the lives of 3 Iraqi soldiers,  Nouri al-Maliki's federal police killed 7 suspects in Mosul (while carrying out mass arrests) and 1 suspect was killed in downtown Falluja.  All Iraq News adds that three people were kidnapped in Tikrit.   Al-Shorfa reports an al-Ameriya armed clash left 2 police members and 4 "gunmen" dead according to Anbar police chief Major General Hadi Kassar Erzaij.    Alsumaria adds the three kidnap victims were traveling together in a private car when they were ambushed.   Amjad Salah and Safaa Abel Hamid (Al Jazeera) report an eastern Baghdad car bombing claimed 3 lives and left nine people injured and that 1 oil security guard was shot dead in front of his Mosul home,  an attack on a Samarra headquarters for the federal police left three federal police injured,  and Alsumaria notes (no byline on piece) an evening Baiji bombing left 1 police officer dead and three more injured.



    At least 37  reported dead today.  (Check my math.)   That's awful.  But with 59 killed yesterday (Iraq Body Count), some may sigh with relief.  Of course, if you're reading western media, you may not just be sighing, you may be giddy.  According to Qassim Abdul-Zahra (AP) only 9 people died today.



    Sunday's violence included an attack on a school.  The United Nations Childrens Fund (UNICEF) issued the following:

    Statement by Marzio Babille, UNICEF representative in Iraq, on deadly school attack

    ERBIL, Iraq, 7 October 2013 – “A suicide bomb attack yesterday on a primary school in Tal Afar in northern Iraq left at least 10 children and their teachers dead and many others injured.

    “This attack is an abominable act of hatred and an affront to all the children of Iraq.
    “Schools are zones of peace where children must be allowed to play and learn in safety and security.
    "UNICEF condemns this attack and calls for an end to the spiraling violence in Iraq."
    For more information please contact:
    Najwa Mekki, UNICEF Regional Office for the Middle East and North Africa, nmekki@unicef.org, Tel: + 962-79-573-2745


    Children are targets in Iraq.  Everyone is.  The recent attack in the KRG demonstrates every area is also at risk.  In the face of this, people make decisions about the safest ways to live their lives.  Nihad Qais (Alsumaria) has a very important report which includes:


    Yazidis celebrated on Sunday, October 6 their annual seven-day pilgrimage holiday (Jama) in the Lalish Temple amidst tight security measures and without performing any rituals, in fear of security breaches. On this occasion, the Yazidis wished for peace, safety and coexistence in Iraq.

    The Yazidi Spiritual Council announced that Jama Holiday rituals will not be undertaken in Lalish Temple, revealing that this decision was taken to avoid security breaches during the 7-day celebration.

    “Jama is one of the most important holidays for Yazidis and it lasts for 7 days”, said a prominent Yazidi clergyman from the Lalish Temple named Babeh Jawesh, in a statement to Alsumaria. “This holiday’s rituals can only be held in the Lalish Temple every year and thousands take part in it from different locations in the world”, he revealed.

    “This year we will not perform the holiday’s ritual in the Lalish Temple in fear of security breaches and to spare the lives of the Temple’s visitors”, added Babeh Jawesh, mentioning “we do not want to turn the holiday’s joyful spirit into a tragedy”.



    Of the reality of violence in Iraq, Krista Ritterhoff (Cisternyard) observes, "This increased level of violence in Iraq is a horrible reminder of the country’s darkest days that many hoped the long and costly ten-year-war would have solved. It seems that in an attempt to bring stability to the country and eliminate terror, the United States has only created a new state of instability, which breeds terror and violence. "  The reality of violence have even crept into the Kurdistan Regional Government as last month wound down.  Dropping back to September 29th:


    [National Iraqi News Agency reports] there was an attack on the Asayis Headquarters in Erbil (think military intelligence) with 2 car bombs and 4 suicide bombers attempt to storm the building -- along with the 4 suicide bombers, the dead includes 6 Asayish and the injured includes forty-two Asayhish and one police officer.


    Again, this attack on Erbil may actually led to outlets (US outlets) paying some attention to Iraq this week.  It is a complete surprise.  Erbil is the capital of the Kurdistan Regional Government. 
    Tim Arango has a report online (and in Monday's New York Times) which notes:

    The attackers hit a building that houses the regional Kurdish government’s security service, and the scenes that unfolded -- terrified people fleeing black plumes of smoke, the charred and smoking husks of vehicles in the streets -- were extraordinary for a region that has largely been spared the violence that for years has plagued the rest of Iraq.


    All Iraq News says it was 6 suicide bombers (not four) and that all 6 were killed by security forces.  They get six because the 2 car bombs were actually being driven by bombers.   The outlet adds strict measures were quickly put in place.  They mean a clamp down.  They don't note it but this included shutting down the Erbil Airport.   Arango notes, "In the aftermath, Iraqi forces swept across Erbil, and Sulaimaniya, another major Kurdish city, setting up checkpoints and other security measures familiar to residents of other Iraqi cities."


    Asharq Al-Awsat (via The Majalla) reports today:

    Last month’s suicide attack on the headquarters of the Security Directorate in Erbil, capital of Iraqi Kurdistan, which the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) claimed responsibility for, was intended to free ISIS-linked prisoners, Asharq Al-Awsat has learned.
    The attack took place on September 29 and led to the death of the six attackers along with six local security personnel, while 62 security officers and local residents were also injured.
    Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the condition of anonymity, Kurdish sources said that the aim of the attackers was to “storm the prison that belongs to the Directorate of Security, which is believed to hold detainees affiliated with the organization [ISIS] who have been arrested in previous pursuits by the local forces.”
    “But they failed to break through the prison’s main gate after the prison guards confronted and killed them,” the source added.
    In a statement posted online, ISIS said that the attack came in response to threats from the president of the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), Masoud Barzani, to send fighters to Kurdish areas in Syria to fight Islamists threatening the region’s inhabitants.


    Zana Khasraw Gul (of the George Soros-backed Open Democracy) offers:



    Furious fighting has broken out in Syria between the Jihadists and the Kurds, particularly the most powerful Kurdish militia, People Protect Unit (YPG), the military wing of the Democratic Union Party (PYD) which is an offshoot of the PKK. The JN, ISIL, Ahrar Al-Sham Brigade and ten other rebel factions have formed an alliance, the ‘Islamic Army’, that has rejected the Free Syrian Army’s (FSA) allegiance to the Syrian National Council (SNC). These developments have brought the civil war to a menacing juncture, with regional ramifications. 
    As Assad’s enemies have fragmented and are fighting each other, a war is going on between the Arab rebels and the Kurds. Massoud Barzani, the President of Iraq’s semi-autonomous Kurdistan region, has reportedly warned of intervention in Syria to defend the slaughter of the Kurdish people by radical Islamist groups who are fighting against Assad’s regime, although officials have since backtracked on the statement. In the meantime, the influx of refugees into the Iraqi Kurdistan region is continuing. In the last few months, tens of thousands of refugees, mostly Syrian Kurds, have crossed the border, posing a challenge to the KRG which is hard pressed to cope with their large numbers.


    Supposedly, the attack was planned for a month.  There is skepticism of this in Arabic social media with many claiming that it was a Saturday, September 28th meet-up which led to the Sunday, September 29th attack.  (For more on the meet-up, you can refer to Baghdad's Kassahkhoon's English language write-up of the meeting.)  Not noted in the commentary is a pretty clear fact: That attack, if planned, was poorly planned.  The 'plan' seemed to be: Send in 6 bombers and hope something works.

    If there was planning of that attack, the attackers should be going after the planner right now.  A plan is:


    You hit the entrance with a tiny bombing."  As people rush out, we have a suicide bomber in the crowd rushing over.  S/he looks distressed like everyone else.  As a calm settles, the bomber detonates a large bomb.  30 seconds later, 4 cars (with suicide bombers) barrel towards the entrance, and . . .

    That's a plan.  The attack the press described was an erratic, ill-timed affair.


    Let's stay with Syria and violence and then come back to the KRG. NINA reports State of Law MP Abbas al-Bayati insisted today that the violence in Iraq is linked to events in Syria.  In making that statement, he was echoing the remarks of the head of State of Law Nouri al-Maliki.  World Bulletin notes:



    Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, in an interview with Al-Monitor, said that Iraq supports a “transitional government that will manage affairs until elections are held and a constitution is adopted” in Syria.
    Maliki, who opposed a US strike on Syria and any outside military intervention there, said that he told US Vice President Joe Biden two years ago that Syria “would not be resolved in two years, or even more, and that the social situation, the political and population structure and the sensitive region make it difficult to predict the end of an armed conflict of such cruelty and ferocity.”


    We noted that laughable 'interview' yesterday.  I was kind and just focused the scorn on Nouri.  Now that the bulls**t is being picked up by others, we're going to have to return to the  Mustafa al-Kadhimi (Al-Monitor) interview.  We've already noted how stupid it is for Nouri to blame others when he's bred hatred and sectarianism since November 2010 when he created the ongoing political crisis.  Let's note something else.  Al-Monitor, you don't do anyone favors by repeating lies and allowing them to go unchallenged.

    There is difference of opinion.  There are foggy circumstances.  And there are also real events which cannot be denied.

    In the awful interview, which was conducted by e-mail, Nouri is allowed to get away with this lie.  It's not challenged in the exchange, it's not challenged in any intro or conclusion to the interview:


    As for the youth demonstrations, this is a natural thing and we consider it a sign of activity, effectiveness and participation, as long as it takes place within the framework of the law. Let me tell you frankly that these demonstrations were dealt with seriously, whether the youth demonstrations that were focused on [revoking] the privileges of members of parliament or the sit-ins that sometimes bordered on sectarian incitement and defying the law, in addition to including legitimate demands. Iraq's method of dealing with these demonstrations serves as a civilized, humanitarian model for dealing [with such events]. Everyone can see how demonstrations, with normal demands, are dealt with in regional countries, and the number of victims. I see no need to provide examples — there are many, and this has been covered in the press. Perhaps there were some problems on the part of security forces or demonstrators here or there, but these things are being followed up on so that they will not happen again. These things occur naturally, but a decision has been made to hold those who were negligent or acted maliciously accountable, whether they be from the security services or demonstrators.


    Now there are bold faced lies throughout and many of the lies cover for deaths.  Surely, for example, functioning public services would save lives.  But we're focusing on that comment by Nouri where he claims that Iraq has a "method" that "serves as a civilized, humanitarian model for dealing" with protesteors and "perhaps there were some problems . . . here or there."  What a load of trash.

    The April 23rd massacre of a sit-in in Hawija resulted from  Nouri's federal forces storming in.  Alsumaria noted Kirkuk's Department of Health (Hawija is in Kirkuk)  announced 50 activists have died and 110 were injured in the assault.   AFP reported the death toll eventually (as some wounded died) rose to 53 dead.   UNICEF noted that the dead included 8 children (twelve more were injured).


    An example for the world?

    Nouri is a cheap, trashy thug.  He's the "Dirty Ol' Man" The Three Degrees warned you about in the seventies.   And he exposed his real self in that massacre.

    By the way, where's his investigation?

    Nouri was overseeing that, remember?  It's October.  Where are the results, Nouri?

    Nouri al-Maliki is a cheap thug and damned liar.  He repeatedly claims he will investigate some incident but there's never any follow up.  And the press -- international press -- refuses to press him on it.


    Ayad Allawi's Iraqiya beat State of Law in the 2010 elections and Allawi should be prime minister.  But, her body order not withstanding, US President Barack Obama thinks Samantha Power is bright and listened to her 'logic' on how the US government should subvert the democratic rights of the Iraqi people and ignore their votes to give Nouri a second term.  (He was installed by the US government in 2006 when the Iraqis wanted Ibrahim al-Jaafari.)  Allawi, the true leader of Iraq, Tweets today:


    1. الاصلاح الرئيسي هو تعزيز العملية السياسية بأن تكون شاملة، لا تقصي احداً الا القتلة والمجرمين ولا تؤذي احداً حيث يكون العراقيين كلهم متساوين




    2. The political process needs to be reformed so that it is all-inclusive whereby all Iraqis are equal and the criminals are brought to justice





    Allawi is the head of Iraqiya.  A prominent Iraqiya member is Nineveh Governor Atheel al-Nujaifi (brother of Speaker of Parliament Osama al-Nujaifi) and, as noted earlier in this snapshot, his spokesperson Saad Zagloul was assassinated today outside of his Mosul home.  All Iraq News reports Iraqiya MP Mohammed Eqbal is calling for the culprit or culprits to be arrested "and present[ed] . . . to judiciary.  The indulging [of] this issue by the security forces allows the criminal to commit more crimes against the Iraqis."  MP Eqbal also expressed, "His sorrow for the continuity of the assassination attempts to the journalists and activists in Nineveh."


    If the pattern stands, not only will Nouri never announce any investigation results but the international press will never call him on it. 

    Back to the KRG, the Kurdistan Regional Government held provincial elections Saturday, September 21st.  Iraq has 18 provinces.  Three of them are in the semi-autonomous Kurdistan Regional Government.  The September 21st elections meant 17 of the provinces had voted.  Only disputed Kirkuk was prevented from voting.   (Why? Because Nouri's never implemented Article 140 -- he was commanded to do so, in the Constitution, by the end of 2007.  He has refused.)   The three KRG provinces are:  Erbil, Sulaimaniya and Dahuk.  October 2nd, the official results were finally announced. 

    AP explained the KDP came in first and they will have 38 seats in the KRG Parliament (there are 111 seats in the Parliament).  (In fairness to AP, I should note that they didn't cite the crackpot in their work.  They were among the few outlets over the last years who hadn't.)  IANS added: that Gorran (Change) got 24 seats, the PUK got 18 seats, the Kurdistan Islamic Union got "10 seats and the Islamic Group got six seats." Those were the major winners and that adds up to 96 seats (check my math).  Anadolu Agency explained, "Minority candidates won 11 seats."

    IANS reports, "Talabani's PUK and Barzani's KDP have long dominated politics in the three-province autonomous region of northern Iraq; however, the latest results showed that the Gorran movement won decisively in Sulaimaniyah province, which is the home base of the PUK."  Anadoulu Agency adds, "Gorran is led by the PUK's former number two, Noshirwan Mustafa, who broke away from Talabani in 2006."  Goran now joins the KDP as one of the two dominant political parties in the KRG.  Whether this is a momentary upset for the PUK or the beginning of its slide downward isn't clear.




    Dropping back to the September 20th snapshot:


    If the PUK does less well than in 2009, there will be complaining.  If the PUK does really bad, there will be outrage.   The one who will face the most criticism may be First Lady of Iraq Hero Ibrahim Ahmed who has been reluctant to heed the advice of PUK leaders and assume the presidency in her husband's absence.  Could she?  Yes.  In the plan they outlined, Hero would not be "President Hero," she would be carrying out the will of her husband while he remains in Germany.  She would be voting by proxy.  She has refused that (just as she refused to take over the position outright) arguing that to do so would leave the impression that Jalal was unable to do his job.
    She's correct people would assume that.  But Jalal has now been out of the country for nine months.  Iraq's been without a president for nine months.  Speaker of Parliament Osama al-Nujaifi's recent revelation that he was refused when he attempted to visit Jalal in the hospital last April does not bode well for Jalal's health or his stature.  And it really makes the point for the posters in Arabic social media who compared the
    May 18th photos of 'healthy' Jalal to Weekend At Bernies. (In Weekend At Bernies, two men use Bernie's corpse to pretend Bernie's still alive.)
    If  Hero has the most to lose in tomorrow's vote, the one with the most to gain from the PUK suffering a big loss is Iraq's Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari who has wanted to grab the Iraqi presidency for some time and attempted a move right after Jalal's stroke but was rebuffed by those in party leadership loyal to Jalal and Hero.
    Credit to Prashant Rao for covering the fact that Jalal's absence may negatively impact the PUK vote tomorrow but is no one going to run through what that means?  Probably not.  It appears AFP is the only western media outlet that's going to report on the KRG elections from inside the Kurdistan Region.



    And Hero was made the fall guy.  Not her absent husband.  Last December,  Iraqi President Jalal Talabani suffered a stroke.   The incident took place late on December 17th (see the December 18th snapshot) and resulted in Jalal being admitted to Baghdad's Medical Center Hospital.    Thursday, December 20th, he was moved to Germany.  He remains in Germany currently.  With October starting tomorrow?  He's one month shy of a full year of being unable to perform his duties.  With Hero pushed out of her position in the PUK, those eyeing Jalal's job just got a big boost.


    Hoshyar Zebari is a member of the PUK and has long eyed Jalal's job.   His position as Iraq's Minister of Foreign Affairs appeared to give him some traction.  Whether he will achieve that rise or not, Kitabat reports the opposite party, the KDP, appears to know who they want after Massoud Barzani:  Barham Salih.  Unrepresented Nations and Peoples Organization reposts an analysis of the election results by Rudaw:


    The success of the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) in last month’s elections in Iraqi Kurdistan mean closer ties between Erbil and Turkey, the Ankara-based International Middle East Peace Research Center (IMPR) said in a recent report.
    The 18-page report also said that the September 21 polls for the autonomous Kurdistan Region’s own parliament were orderly, honest and transparent. It said they were an assurance of stability and security for Turkey’s southern borders.
    The KDP received the largest number of votes at the polls but the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), its partner in the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), did not fare as well. It lost its standing as the second-strongest party to the opposition Change Movement, Gorran. The composition of the next government is yet to be decided.
    “The KDP’s dominance in the forthcoming government would provide a powerful ally to Turkey both in Kurdistan and in the region because of the KDP’s desire to have even stronger relations with Turkey,” said the IMPR report, titled “KRG's parliamentary elections, coalition discussions and their effects on Turkey.”



    Meanwhile, NINA reports:

    The adviser of the President of the Kurdistan Regional Parliament Tariq Jawhar said that the formation of the new provincial government will not be as easy as that took place in previous sessions .
    He explained, in a statement to the National Iraqi News Agency/ NINA / on Thursday 8, Oct that the recent elections produced a new facts and results , as some of the major parties lost a lot of seats , while other parties made significant gains in this election . "
    He added, "The Patriotic Union of Kurdistan PUK, led by President Jalal Talabani, despite losing a lot of votes and seats , but it still has a mass base and a major political weight," adding that " all options are open in front of the PUK on participation in the next government or not ."
    He continued , " The PUK wants the next government to be with broad popular base and be broad representation and includes everyone."



    The results are finally in and official for the KRG.  It shouldn't have taken this long and it's actually an embarrassment for Iraq's Independent High Electoral Commission that it has taken this long. 


    Still on the KRG,  last week, Renee Montagne (NPR's Morning Edition, link is audio and transcript) spoke with an American educator in the KRG:




    RENEE MONTAGNE, HOST: There is an old Arab saying that proclaims books are written in Cairo, published in Beirut and read in Baghdad. Those cradles of civilization were cradles of learning, and that education continues even as those places in modern times fell into unrest and violence, in part thanks to a string of English-language American universities dating back to Beirut in the 1800s.   We're going to hear now from Dawn Dekle. Just weeks ago, she took up her duties as president of the American University in Iraq, founded six years ago in the Kurdish region. She came to Iraq from Kabul, where she was the top administrator at the new American University there. We reached her via Skype in Iraq.


    DAWN DEKLE: If you're somebody right now in Afghanistan or Iraq, you've got a son or daughter who is capable, you want to try to send that son or daughter to the United States. You might completely disagree with American foreign policy, but no one really disagrees that the Harvards, the MITs, the Stanfords of the world are world-class. Having said that, you can get sticker shock from some of these schools. You could have visa issues trying to get your son or daughter into these schools. So why not bring the school to the students?


    MONTAGNE: So did you - I mean, I know these are two very different countries and two very different situations. But tell us about the transition from the American University in Kabul in Afghanistan to the American University in Iraq. What did you find that was similar and what is the difference?


    DEKLE: One variable that's a little bit different here than possibly Afghanistan, is that within the Kurdish region of Iraq, Americans are welcomed. Whereas, in Afghanistan, many of the Afghans that I met were a bit fatigued with having Americans in their country. I'm not saying Afghans are not welcoming, because their culture is legendary for being wonderful hosts. It's just more of a slight undertone. And who can blame them? What I find that the Kurdish, they're so enthusiastic. They want to ask us all about the United States and speak English with you, and they're just wonderful. I feel very welcomed here.



    On the topic of some Iraqi's wishing to leave Iraq, US Senators John McCain and Jeanne Shaheen issued the following statement last week:



    STATEMENT BY SENATORS McCAIN AND SHAHEEN ON CONGRESS PASSING IRAQ VISA LEGISLATION



    October 3, 2013


    Washington, DC – U.S. Senators John McCain (R-AZ) and Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) today released the following statement after Congress sent President Obama their legislation extending the Special Immigrant Visa Program for Iraqi citizens who assisted U.S. troops during the Iraq War. The legislation was passed unanimously by the Senate on Tuesday and by the House last night.
    “Extending the Iraq Special Immigrant Visa Program will help those who helped us during a time of war,” said Senators McCain and Shaheen. “Brave Iraqis who risked their lives to protect and assist American troops are now living under the threat of retribution from terrorists and militants as a result. The United States has a moral obligation to help those Iraqis who stood with our troops.
    “Despite the dysfunction that has taken hold of Washington today, this legislation demonstrates that Congress can still work together to uphold our country’s promises and commitments. We are deeply grateful for the efforts of Senators Patrick Leahy, Lindsey Graham and Chuck Grassley, and for the critical support that our colleagues on both sides of the Capitol, especially House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, have shown to sustain this vital program.”
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